Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.112.70safe0.63–2.560.25–1.960.88–4.53safer0.38–2.820.02–2.190.40–5.01
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.113.348.46safe3.25–6.981.60–5.094.85–12.06safer2.76–7.471.14–5.553.90–13.02
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction14.429.2823.70safe10.49–18.345.72–12.8516.21–31.19safer9.40–19.434.76–13.8114.16–33.24
Shots in box
73%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.416.4315.84safe6.47–12.353.75–9.1110.22–21.47safer5.64–13.183.01–9.858.65–23.03
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.122.326.44safe2.24–6.000.67–3.972.91–9.98safer1.69–6.550.18–4.471.87–11.01
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.653.769.42safe3.44–7.871.76–5.765.20–13.63safer2.87–8.441.23–6.304.10–14.74
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction53.7245.67safe46.93–60.5138.88–52.45safer45.26–62.1837.21–54.12
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction426341768safe359–494275–408634–902safer341–512257–425599–937
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction72.0469.97safe68.01–76.0765.64–74.29safer66.72–77.3664.33–75.60
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2113.4527.66safe11.37–17.0510.51–16.4021.88–33.45safer10.62–17.809.76–17.1520.38–34.95
Offsides
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.393.90safe0.35–2.671.30–3.491.65–6.16safer0.05–2.971.01–3.781.06–6.75
Yellow cards
32%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.744.94safe1.16–3.261.61–3.862.76–7.12safer0.89–3.521.32–4.162.21–7.68
Red cards
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.120.30safe0.02–0.340.00–0.310.00–0.65safer0.00–0.490.00–0.440.00–0.93
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.315.58safe0.83–3.701.76–4.872.59–8.57safer0.44–4.091.33–5.291.78–9.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.56 0.38–2.82 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.11 3.25–6.98 2.76–7.47 | 3.34 1.60–5.09 1.14–5.55 | 8.46 4.85–12.06 3.90–13.02 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 14.42 10.49–18.34 9.40–19.43 | 9.28 5.72–12.85 4.76–13.81 | 23.70 16.21–31.19 14.16–33.24 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.41 6.47–12.35 5.64–13.18 | 6.43 3.75–9.11 3.01–9.85 | 15.84 10.22–21.47 8.65–23.03 | 73% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.00 1.69–6.55 | 2.32 0.67–3.97 0.18–4.47 | 6.44 2.91–9.98 1.87–11.01 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.44 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.23–6.30 | 9.42 5.20–13.63 4.10–14.74 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 53.72 46.93–60.51 45.26–62.18 | 45.67 38.88–52.45 37.21–54.12 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 426 359–494 341–512 | 341 275–408 257–425 | 768 634–902 599–937 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.04 68.01–76.07 66.72–77.36 | 69.97 65.64–74.29 64.33–75.60 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 14.21 11.37–17.05 10.62–17.80 | 13.45 10.51–16.40 9.76–17.15 | 27.66 21.88–33.45 20.38–34.95 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 2.39 1.30–3.49 1.01–3.78 | 3.90 1.65–6.16 1.06–6.75 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 2.21 1.16–3.26 0.89–3.52 | 2.74 1.61–3.86 1.32–4.16 | 4.94 2.76–7.12 2.21–7.68 | 32% 18% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.02–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 15% 76% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.31 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.29 | 5.58 2.59–8.57 1.78–9.38 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.