Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.312.60safe0.32–2.260.46–2.170.78–4.42safer0.07–2.510.23–2.400.30–4.90
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.154.378.51safe2.28–6.012.62–6.114.91–12.12safer1.79–6.502.16–6.583.95–13.07
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6312.6124.25safe7.71–15.569.05–16.1716.76–31.73safer6.62–16.658.09–17.1314.71–33.78
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction7.798.1415.93safe4.84–10.735.46–10.8310.31–21.56safer4.02–11.564.73–11.568.74–23.12
Blocked shots
32%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.947.12safe1.30–5.072.28–5.593.58–10.65safer0.76–5.611.79–6.082.55–11.69
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.665.049.70safe2.44–6.873.04–7.045.49–13.91safer1.87–7.442.51–7.584.38–15.02
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction48.2353.11safe41.44–55.0246.32–59.89safer39.77–56.6944.65–61.57
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction387419807safe320–455353–486673–940safer302–473335–503637–976
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction65.7672.67safe61.73–69.7968.34–76.99safer60.44–71.0867.03–78.30
Fouls
28%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8315.4728.30safe9.99–15.6712.53–18.4222.52–34.09safer9.24–16.4211.78–19.1721.02–35.59
Offsides
64%
18%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.581.343.92safe1.42–3.740.25–2.431.67–6.17safer1.12–4.040.00–2.721.08–6.76
Yellow cards
36%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.755.17safe1.38–3.471.62–3.882.99–7.35safer1.11–3.741.33–4.172.44–7.91
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
43%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.862.745.59safe1.42–4.291.18–4.292.60–8.59safer1.03–4.680.76–4.721.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.60 0.78–4.42 0.30–4.90 | 36% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.15 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 4.37 2.62–6.11 2.16–6.58 | 8.51 4.91–12.12 3.95–13.07 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 11.63 7.71–15.56 6.62–16.65 | 12.61 9.05–16.17 8.09–17.13 | 24.25 16.76–31.73 14.71–33.78 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 7.79 4.84–10.73 4.02–11.56 | 8.14 5.46–10.83 4.73–11.56 | 15.93 10.31–21.56 8.74–23.12 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.18 1.30–5.07 0.76–5.61 | 3.94 2.28–5.59 1.79–6.08 | 7.12 3.58–10.65 2.55–11.69 | 32% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 4.66 2.44–6.87 1.87–7.44 | 5.04 3.04–7.04 2.51–7.58 | 9.70 5.49–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 48.23 41.44–55.02 39.77–56.69 | 53.11 46.32–59.89 44.65–61.57 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 387 320–455 302–473 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 807 673–940 637–976 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.76 61.73–69.79 60.44–71.08 | 72.67 68.34–76.99 67.03–78.30 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.67 9.24–16.42 | 15.47 12.53–18.42 11.78–19.17 | 28.30 22.52–34.09 21.02–35.59 | 28% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.58 1.42–3.74 1.12–4.04 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.92 1.67–6.17 1.08–6.76 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 2.42 1.38–3.47 1.11–3.74 | 2.75 1.62–3.88 1.33–4.17 | 5.17 2.99–7.35 2.44–7.91 | 36% 18% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 2.74 1.18–4.29 0.76–4.72 | 5.59 2.60–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 43% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.