Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.352.46safe0.14–2.080.49–2.200.63–4.28safer0.00–2.330.26–2.430.15–4.76
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.884.358.23safe2.02–5.752.60–6.094.62–11.83safer1.53–6.232.14–6.553.67–12.79
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6912.2923.99safe7.77–15.628.73–15.8616.50–31.47safer6.68–16.717.77–16.8214.45–33.52
Shots in box
40%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction7.177.6014.77safe4.23–10.114.92–10.289.15–20.40safer3.40–10.944.18–11.027.58–21.96
Blocked shots
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.652.985.63safe0.77–4.531.33–4.632.10–9.17safer0.23–5.080.84–5.131.06–10.20
Corners
43%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.559.09safe2.33–6.762.55–6.554.88–13.30safer1.76–7.332.01–7.083.77–14.41
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.8752.51safe41.08–54.6645.72–59.29safer39.41–56.3344.05–60.96
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction355377732safe288–423311–443599–866safer270–441293–461563–902
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction64.0269.63safe60.00–68.0565.30–73.95safer58.70–69.3563.99–75.26
Fouls
37%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6518.1734.81safe13.81–19.4815.22–21.1129.03–40.59safer13.05–20.2414.47–21.8627.52–42.10
Offsides
32%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.835.12safe1.13–3.451.73–3.922.86–7.37safer0.83–3.751.45–4.212.28–7.96
Yellow cards
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.065.91safe1.80–3.901.93–4.183.73–8.09safer1.54–4.171.64–4.483.17–8.64
Red cards
13%
72%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.190.36safe0.01–0.330.01–0.380.01–0.71safer0.00–0.480.00–0.510.00–0.99
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.745.57safe1.39–4.271.18–4.302.58–8.56safer1.01–4.650.76–4.721.76–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.46 0.63–4.28 0.15–4.76 | 31% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.88 2.02–5.75 1.53–6.23 | 4.35 2.60–6.09 2.14–6.55 | 8.23 4.62–11.83 3.67–12.79 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 11.69 7.77–15.62 6.68–16.71 | 12.29 8.73–15.86 7.77–16.82 | 23.99 16.50–31.47 14.45–33.52 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.17 4.23–10.11 3.40–10.94 | 7.60 4.92–10.28 4.18–11.02 | 14.77 9.15–20.40 7.58–21.96 | 40% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 2.65 0.77–4.53 0.23–5.08 | 2.98 1.33–4.63 0.84–5.13 | 5.63 2.10–9.17 1.06–10.20 | 36% 17% 47% |
| Corners | 4.54 2.33–6.76 1.76–7.33 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.01–7.08 | 9.09 4.88–13.30 3.77–14.41 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 47.87 41.08–54.66 39.41–56.33 | 52.51 45.72–59.29 44.05–60.96 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 355 288–423 270–441 | 377 311–443 293–461 | 732 599–866 563–902 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.02 60.00–68.05 58.70–69.35 | 69.63 65.30–73.95 63.99–75.26 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 16.65 13.81–19.48 13.05–20.24 | 18.17 15.22–21.11 14.47–21.86 | 34.81 29.03–40.59 27.52–42.10 | 37% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.75 | 2.83 1.73–3.92 1.45–4.21 | 5.12 2.86–7.37 2.28–7.96 | 32% 18% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 2.85 1.80–3.90 1.54–4.17 | 3.06 1.93–4.18 1.64–4.48 | 5.91 3.73–8.09 3.17–8.64 | 38% 17% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.19 0.01–0.38 0.00–0.51 | 0.36 0.01–0.71 0.00–0.99 | 13% 72% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.27 1.01–4.65 | 2.74 1.18–4.30 0.76–4.72 | 5.57 2.58–8.56 1.76–9.37 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+