Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.500.942.44safe0.53–2.470.08–1.790.62–4.26safer0.28–2.720.00–2.020.14–4.74
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.203.168.35safe3.33–7.061.42–4.904.75–11.96safer2.84–7.550.95–5.373.79–12.92
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.679.2824.94safe11.74–19.595.71–12.8417.46–32.43safer10.65–20.684.75–13.8015.41–34.48
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.795.7915.59safe6.85–12.743.11–8.479.96–21.21safer6.02–13.572.37–9.218.40–22.78
Blocked shots
68%
14%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.632.015.63safe1.74–5.510.35–3.662.10–9.17safer1.20–6.050.00–4.151.06–10.20
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.553.639.18safe3.34–7.771.63–5.634.97–13.39safer2.77–8.341.09–6.163.86–14.50
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.3943.57safe49.60–63.1836.79–50.36safer47.93–64.8535.12–52.03
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction445337782safe378–512271–404649–916safer360–531253–421613–952
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction67.0064.93safe62.97–71.0360.61–69.26safer61.68–72.3359.30–70.56
Fouls
62%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction18.3016.0734.36safe15.46–21.1413.12–19.0128.58–40.15safer14.70–21.8912.37–19.7627.08–41.65
Offsides
48%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.852.475.33safe1.69–4.011.38–3.573.07–7.58safer1.39–4.311.09–3.852.48–8.17
Yellow cards
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.106.05safe1.90–4.001.97–4.233.87–8.22safer1.63–4.261.68–4.523.31–8.78
Red cards
13%
71%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.200.37safe0.01–0.330.02–0.390.03–0.72safer0.00–0.480.00–0.520.00–1.00
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.555.74safe0.75–3.621.99–5.112.74–8.73safer0.36–4.011.57–5.531.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 50% 26% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.33–7.06 2.84–7.55 | 3.16 1.42–4.90 0.95–5.37 | 8.35 4.75–11.96 3.79–12.92 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.67 11.74–19.59 10.65–20.68 | 9.28 5.71–12.84 4.75–13.80 | 24.94 17.46–32.43 15.41–34.48 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 9.79 6.85–12.74 6.02–13.57 | 5.79 3.11–8.47 2.37–9.21 | 15.59 9.96–21.21 8.40–22.78 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.74–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 2.01 0.35–3.66 0.00–4.15 | 5.63 2.10–9.17 1.06–10.20 | 68% 14% 18% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.34–7.77 2.77–8.34 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.09–6.16 | 9.18 4.97–13.39 3.86–14.50 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 56.39 49.60–63.18 47.93–64.85 | 43.57 36.79–50.36 35.12–52.03 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 360–531 | 337 271–404 253–421 | 782 649–916 613–952 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.00 62.97–71.03 61.68–72.33 | 64.93 60.61–69.26 59.30–70.56 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 18.30 15.46–21.14 14.70–21.89 | 16.07 13.12–19.01 12.37–19.76 | 34.36 28.58–40.15 27.08–41.65 | 62% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.85 1.69–4.01 1.39–4.31 | 2.47 1.38–3.57 1.09–3.85 | 5.33 3.07–7.58 2.48–8.17 | 48% 18% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.95 1.90–4.00 1.63–4.26 | 3.10 1.97–4.23 1.68–4.52 | 6.05 3.87–8.22 3.31–8.78 | 39% 17% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.20 0.02–0.39 0.00–0.52 | 0.37 0.03–0.72 0.00–1.00 | 13% 71% 16% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 3.55 1.99–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 5.74 2.74–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+