Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.620.673.29safe1.65–3.590.00–1.521.46–5.11safer1.40–3.840.00–1.750.98–5.59
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.842.329.16safe4.98–8.710.57–4.065.56–12.77safer4.49–9.200.11–4.534.60–13.72
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.258.0826.33safe14.32–22.174.52–11.6518.84–33.82safer13.23–23.263.56–12.6116.79–35.87
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.844.9617.81safe9.90–15.792.28–7.6512.18–23.43safer9.07–16.611.55–8.3810.62–25.00
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.302.116.41safe2.42–6.180.46–3.762.88–9.95safer1.87–6.730.00–4.261.84–10.98
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.942.759.68safe4.72–9.150.75–4.755.47–13.90safer4.15–9.720.22–5.284.36–15.01
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.5935.04safe57.80–71.3828.26–41.83safer56.13–73.0526.59–43.50
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction548290838safe480–615224–357704–972safer462–633206–374669–1007
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction80.3966.73safe76.36–84.4262.40–71.05safer75.07–85.7161.09–72.36
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8915.7530.64safe12.06–17.7312.80–18.6924.86–36.43safer11.30–18.4912.06–19.4423.36–37.93
Offsides
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction3.181.214.39safe2.02–4.340.12–2.312.14–6.65safer1.72–4.640.00–2.591.55–7.24
Yellow cards
22%
16%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.185.17safe0.94–3.042.05–4.312.99–7.35safer0.68–3.311.76–4.602.43–7.90
Red cards
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.210.29safe0.00–0.240.03–0.400.00–0.64safer0.00–0.390.00–0.530.00–0.92
GK saves
76%
homeawaytotalprediction1.934.186.11safe0.50–3.372.62–5.733.12–9.10safer0.11–3.762.20–6.162.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.62 1.65–3.59 1.40–3.84 | 0.67 0.00–1.52 0.00–1.75 | 3.29 1.46–5.11 0.98–5.59 | 79% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.84 4.98–8.71 4.49–9.20 | 2.32 0.57–4.06 0.11–4.53 | 9.16 5.56–12.77 4.60–13.72 | 91% |
| Total shots | 18.25 14.32–22.17 13.23–23.26 | 8.08 4.52–11.65 3.56–12.61 | 26.33 18.84–33.82 16.79–35.87 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.84 9.90–15.79 9.07–16.61 | 4.96 2.28–7.65 1.55–8.38 | 17.81 12.18–23.43 10.62–25.00 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.18 1.87–6.73 | 2.11 0.46–3.76 0.00–4.26 | 6.41 2.88–9.95 1.84–10.98 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.94 4.72–9.15 4.15–9.72 | 2.75 0.75–4.75 0.22–5.28 | 9.68 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.01 | 89% |
| Possession % | 64.59 57.80–71.38 56.13–73.05 | 35.04 28.26–41.83 26.59–43.50 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 548 480–615 462–633 | 290 224–357 206–374 | 838 704–972 669–1007 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.39 76.36–84.42 75.07–85.71 | 66.73 62.40–71.05 61.09–72.36 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 14.89 12.06–17.73 11.30–18.49 | 15.75 12.80–18.69 12.06–19.44 | 30.64 24.86–36.43 23.36–37.93 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 3.18 2.02–4.34 1.72–4.64 | 1.21 0.12–2.31 0.00–2.59 | 4.39 2.14–6.65 1.55–7.24 | 76% 13% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 3.18 2.05–4.31 1.76–4.60 | 5.17 2.99–7.35 2.43–7.90 | 22% 16% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.21 0.03–0.40 0.00–0.53 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% 18% |
| GK saves | 1.93 0.50–3.37 0.11–3.76 | 4.18 2.62–5.73 2.20–6.16 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.31–9.92 | 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

