Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
27%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.382.42safe0.07–2.010.52–2.230.59–4.24safer0.00–2.260.30–2.460.11–4.72
Shots on target
30%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.664.618.27safe1.79–5.522.87–6.354.66–11.87safer1.30–6.012.40–6.823.71–12.83
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2513.0824.33safe7.33–15.189.51–16.6416.84–31.82safer6.24–16.278.56–17.6014.79–33.87
Shots in box
29%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction6.638.2014.83safe3.69–9.575.52–10.889.21–20.45safer2.86–10.404.78–11.627.64–22.02
Blocked shots
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.982.975.95safe1.10–4.861.31–4.622.41–9.48safer0.56–5.410.82–5.111.38–10.52
Corners
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.644.779.41safe2.43–6.852.77–6.775.19–13.62safer1.85–7.432.23–7.304.09–14.73
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.7549.59safe44.96–58.5442.81–56.38safer43.29–60.2141.13–58.05
Passes
56%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction399379779safe332–467313–446645–913safer314–485295–463610–948
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction67.0369.89safe63.00–71.0665.57–74.21safer61.71–72.3564.26–75.52
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6417.0533.69safe13.81–19.4814.10–19.9927.91–39.47safer13.05–20.2413.35–20.7426.40–40.98
Offsides
25%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.383.97safe0.42–2.751.29–3.471.71–6.22safer0.12–3.051.00–3.761.12–6.81
Yellow cards
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.905.52safe1.57–3.671.77–4.033.34–7.70safer1.30–3.931.48–4.322.78–8.25
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.140.28safe0.00–0.310.00–0.320.00–0.63safer0.00–0.460.00–0.460.00–0.91
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.042.565.60safe1.61–4.481.00–4.122.61–8.59safer1.22–4.870.58–4.541.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.38 0.52–2.23 0.30–2.46 | 2.42 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 28% 27% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.79–5.52 1.30–6.01 | 4.61 2.87–6.35 2.40–6.82 | 8.27 4.66–11.87 3.71–12.83 | 30% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.25 7.33–15.18 6.24–16.27 | 13.08 9.51–16.64 8.56–17.60 | 24.33 16.84–31.82 14.79–33.87 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 6.63 3.69–9.57 2.86–10.40 | 8.20 5.52–10.88 4.78–11.62 | 14.83 9.21–20.45 7.64–22.02 | 29% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.86 0.56–5.41 | 2.97 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 5.95 2.41–9.48 1.38–10.52 | 42% 17% 41% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.43–6.85 1.85–7.43 | 4.77 2.77–6.77 2.23–7.30 | 9.41 5.19–13.62 4.09–14.73 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Possession % | 51.75 44.96–58.54 43.29–60.21 | 49.59 42.81–56.38 41.13–58.05 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 399 332–467 314–485 | 379 313–446 295–463 | 779 645–913 610–948 | 56% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.03 63.00–71.06 61.71–72.35 | 69.89 65.57–74.21 64.26–75.52 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 16.64 13.81–19.48 13.05–20.24 | 17.05 14.10–19.99 13.35–20.74 | 33.69 27.91–39.47 26.40–40.98 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.42–2.75 0.12–3.05 | 2.38 1.29–3.47 1.00–3.76 | 3.97 1.71–6.22 1.12–6.81 | 25% 19% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 2.62 1.57–3.67 1.30–3.93 | 2.90 1.77–4.03 1.48–4.32 | 5.52 3.34–7.70 2.78–8.25 | 37% 17% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 2.56 1.00–4.12 0.58–4.54 | 5.60 2.61–8.59 1.80–9.41 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.