Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.400.992.39safe0.43–2.370.13–1.840.56–4.21safer0.18–2.620.00–2.070.08–4.69
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.468.29safe2.97–6.691.71–5.204.68–11.89safer2.48–7.181.25–5.663.72–12.85
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.239.5224.75safe11.31–19.155.96–13.0917.27–32.24safer10.21–20.255.00–14.0515.22–34.29
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.505.8015.29safe6.55–12.443.12–8.489.67–20.92safer5.73–13.272.38–9.228.10–22.48
Blocked shots
71%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.922.065.97safe2.03–5.800.40–3.712.44–9.51safer1.49–6.340.00–4.201.40–10.54
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.623.749.37safe3.41–7.831.74–5.745.15–13.58safer2.83–8.411.21–6.284.04–14.69
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.8346.76safe47.04–60.6239.97–53.54safer45.37–62.2938.30–55.21
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction418364782safe350–485298–431648–915safer332–503280–448612–951
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction64.9066.62safe60.87–68.9362.29–70.94safer59.58–70.2260.98–72.25
Fouls
65%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction19.1916.3435.54safe16.36–22.0313.40–19.2929.75–41.32safer15.60–22.7912.65–20.0428.25–42.82
Offsides
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.614.39safe0.62–2.941.52–3.702.13–6.64safer0.32–3.241.23–3.991.54–7.23
Yellow cards
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.962.925.88safe1.91–4.001.79–4.053.70–8.06safer1.64–4.271.50–4.343.14–8.61
Red cards
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.170.33safe0.00–0.320.00–0.360.00–0.68safer0.00–0.470.00–0.490.00–0.96
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.295.65safe0.93–3.801.73–4.842.66–8.64safer0.54–4.191.30–5.271.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.39 0.56–4.21 0.08–4.69 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 3.46 1.71–5.20 1.25–5.66 | 8.29 4.68–11.89 3.72–12.85 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.23 11.31–19.15 10.21–20.25 | 9.52 5.96–13.09 5.00–14.05 | 24.75 17.27–32.24 15.22–34.29 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.55–12.44 5.73–13.27 | 5.80 3.12–8.48 2.38–9.22 | 15.29 9.67–20.92 8.10–22.48 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 2.06 0.40–3.71 0.00–4.20 | 5.97 2.44–9.51 1.40–10.54 | 71% 16% |
| Corners | 5.62 3.41–7.83 2.83–8.41 | 3.74 1.74–5.74 1.21–6.28 | 9.37 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.69 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 53.83 47.04–60.62 45.37–62.29 | 46.76 39.97–53.54 38.30–55.21 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 418 350–485 332–503 | 364 298–431 280–448 | 782 648–915 612–951 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.90 60.87–68.93 59.58–70.22 | 66.62 62.29–70.94 60.98–72.25 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 19.19 16.36–22.03 15.60–22.79 | 16.34 13.40–19.29 12.65–20.04 | 35.54 29.75–41.32 28.25–42.82 | 65% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 2.61 1.52–3.70 1.23–3.99 | 4.39 2.13–6.64 1.54–7.23 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 2.96 1.91–4.00 1.64–4.27 | 2.92 1.79–4.05 1.50–4.34 | 5.88 3.70–8.06 3.14–8.61 | 42% 17% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.33 0.00–0.68 0.00–0.96 | 74% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.29 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.27 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.