Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
26%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.490.922.42safe0.53–2.460.07–1.770.59–4.24safer0.28–2.710.00–2.000.11–4.72
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.573.578.14safe2.71–6.431.82–5.314.53–11.74safer2.22–6.921.36–5.773.58–12.70
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0111.3325.34safe10.09–17.947.77–14.8917.85–32.83safer8.99–19.036.81–15.8515.80–34.88
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction8.276.5014.77safe5.33–11.213.82–9.189.15–20.39safer4.50–12.043.08–9.927.58–21.96
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.106.92safe1.94–5.711.45–4.753.39–10.46safer1.40–6.250.96–5.252.35–11.49
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.463.709.16safe3.25–7.681.70–5.704.95–13.38safer2.68–8.251.17–6.233.84–14.48
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.3342.54safe50.54–64.1235.76–49.33safer48.87–65.7934.09–51.00
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction521356877safe454–589289–422743–1011safer436–607272–439708–1046
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction69.4566.70safe65.42–73.4862.38–71.02safer64.13–74.7761.07–72.33
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2615.4428.70safe10.42–16.1012.49–18.3822.92–34.48safer9.67–16.8511.74–19.1321.41–35.98
Offsides
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.113.52safe0.26–2.581.01–3.201.27–5.78safer0.00–2.880.73–3.490.68–6.37
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.604.49safe0.85–2.941.47–3.732.32–6.67safer0.58–3.211.18–4.021.76–7.23
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
32%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.155.68safe1.09–3.961.60–4.712.68–8.67safer0.70–4.351.17–5.131.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.53–2.46 0.28–2.71 | 0.92 0.07–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.42 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 51% 26% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.71–6.43 2.22–6.92 | 3.57 1.82–5.31 1.36–5.77 | 8.14 4.53–11.74 3.58–12.70 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.01 10.09–17.94 8.99–19.03 | 11.33 7.77–14.89 6.81–15.85 | 25.34 17.85–32.83 15.80–34.88 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 8.27 5.33–11.21 4.50–12.04 | 6.50 3.82–9.18 3.08–9.92 | 14.77 9.15–20.39 7.58–21.96 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 3.10 1.45–4.75 0.96–5.25 | 6.92 3.39–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.23 | 9.16 4.95–13.38 3.84–14.48 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 57.33 50.54–64.12 48.87–65.79 | 42.54 35.76–49.33 34.09–51.00 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 521 454–589 436–607 | 356 289–422 272–439 | 877 743–1011 708–1046 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.45 65.42–73.48 64.13–74.77 | 66.70 62.38–71.02 61.07–72.33 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 13.26 10.42–16.10 9.67–16.85 | 15.44 12.49–18.38 11.74–19.13 | 28.70 22.92–34.48 21.41–35.98 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 2.11 1.01–3.20 0.73–3.49 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.85–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.60 1.47–3.73 1.18–4.02 | 4.49 2.32–6.67 1.76–7.23 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 5.68 2.68–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 32% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+