Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.342.69safe0.39–2.320.48–2.190.87–4.51safer0.14–2.570.25–2.420.39–4.99
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.574.268.83safe2.71–6.432.52–6.005.23–12.44safer2.22–6.922.05–6.474.27–13.39
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1411.3724.51safe9.22–17.077.81–14.9417.03–32.00safer8.13–18.166.85–15.8914.98–34.05
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.267.9416.20safe5.32–11.205.26–10.6210.57–21.82safer4.49–12.034.52–11.369.01–23.39
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.026.83safe1.92–5.691.37–4.673.29–10.36safer1.38–6.230.87–5.162.25–11.40
Corners
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.894.459.34safe2.68–7.102.45–6.455.13–13.56safer2.10–7.681.92–6.994.02–14.66
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.4354.53safe38.64–52.2247.75–61.32safer36.97–53.8946.07–62.99
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction342395736safe274–409328–461603–870safer256–427311–479567–906
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction66.2672.19safe62.23–70.2967.87–76.51safer60.94–71.5866.56–77.82
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0317.0633.09safe13.19–18.8714.11–20.0027.31–38.87safer12.44–19.6213.37–20.7525.80–40.37
Offsides
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.673.05safe0.22–2.540.57–2.760.80–5.30safer0.00–2.850.28–3.050.21–5.89
Yellow cards
38%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.572.785.35safe1.52–3.621.65–3.913.17–7.53safer1.26–3.891.36–4.202.61–8.08
Red cards
14%
73%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.170.34safe0.01–0.330.00–0.350.00–0.69safer0.00–0.480.00–0.490.00–0.97
GK saves
36%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.085.79safe1.27–4.141.53–4.642.80–8.78safer0.88–4.531.10–5.061.99–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.57 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 38% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.71–6.43 2.22–6.92 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 8.83 5.23–12.44 4.27–13.39 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.14 9.22–17.07 8.13–18.16 | 11.37 7.81–14.94 6.85–15.89 | 24.51 17.03–32.00 14.98–34.05 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.26 5.32–11.20 4.49–12.03 | 7.94 5.26–10.62 4.52–11.36 | 16.20 10.57–21.82 9.01–23.39 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.92–5.69 1.38–6.23 | 3.02 1.37–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 6.83 3.29–10.36 2.25–11.40 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.68–7.10 2.10–7.68 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.92–6.99 | 9.34 5.13–13.56 4.02–14.66 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Possession % | 45.43 38.64–52.22 36.97–53.89 | 54.53 47.75–61.32 46.07–62.99 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 342 274–409 256–427 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 736 603–870 567–906 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.26 62.23–70.29 60.94–71.58 | 72.19 67.87–76.51 66.56–77.82 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 16.03 13.19–18.87 12.44–19.62 | 17.06 14.11–20.00 13.37–20.75 | 33.09 27.31–38.87 25.80–40.37 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.85 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.57 1.52–3.62 1.26–3.89 | 2.78 1.65–3.91 1.36–4.20 | 5.35 3.17–7.53 2.61–8.08 | 38% 18% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.34 0.00–0.69 0.00–0.97 | 14% 73% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 3.08 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.99–9.59 | 36% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+