Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.800.922.72safe0.83–2.770.07–1.770.90–4.54safer0.58–3.020.00–2.000.42–5.02
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.482.878.35safe3.62–7.341.13–4.614.75–11.96safer3.13–7.830.66–5.083.79–12.91
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction15.478.6124.08safe11.54–19.395.05–12.1816.59–31.57safer10.45–20.484.09–13.1414.54–33.62
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.375.4415.81safe7.43–13.312.76–8.1210.19–21.43safer6.60–14.142.02–8.868.62–23.00
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.142.016.15safe2.26–6.020.36–3.662.61–9.69safer1.72–6.570.00–4.151.58–10.72
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.523.159.67safe4.31–8.741.15–5.155.46–13.89safer3.74–9.310.62–5.684.35–14.99
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.6840.30safe52.89–66.4733.52–47.09safer51.22–68.1431.85–48.76
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction504335839safe437–571269–402706–973safer419–589251–419670–1009
Pass accuracy %
81%
15%
homeawayprediction74.4267.00safe70.39–78.4562.67–71.32safer69.10–79.7461.36–72.63
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7312.9827.71safe11.89–17.5710.04–15.9321.93–33.49safer11.13–18.329.29–16.6720.42–34.99
Offsides
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.414.23safe0.67–2.991.31–3.501.98–6.49safer0.37–3.291.03–3.791.39–7.08
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.424.41safe0.94–3.041.29–3.552.23–6.59safer0.68–3.311.00–3.841.68–7.15
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.983.835.81safe0.55–3.422.27–5.392.82–8.80safer0.16–3.811.85–5.812.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 0.92 0.07–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.48 3.62–7.34 3.13–7.83 | 2.87 1.13–4.61 0.66–5.08 | 8.35 4.75–11.96 3.79–12.91 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 15.47 11.54–19.39 10.45–20.48 | 8.61 5.05–12.18 4.09–13.14 | 24.08 16.59–31.57 14.54–33.62 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.37 7.43–13.31 6.60–14.14 | 5.44 2.76–8.12 2.02–8.86 | 15.81 10.19–21.43 8.62–23.00 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.02 1.72–6.57 | 2.01 0.36–3.66 0.00–4.15 | 6.15 2.61–9.69 1.58–10.72 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.52 4.31–8.74 3.74–9.31 | 3.15 1.15–5.15 0.62–5.68 | 9.67 5.46–13.89 4.35–14.99 | 82% |
| Possession % | 59.68 52.89–66.47 51.22–68.14 | 40.30 33.52–47.09 31.85–48.76 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 504 437–571 419–589 | 335 269–402 251–419 | 839 706–973 670–1009 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.42 70.39–78.45 69.10–79.74 | 67.00 62.67–71.32 61.36–72.63 | — | 81% 15% |
| Fouls | 14.73 11.89–17.57 11.13–18.32 | 12.98 10.04–15.93 9.29–16.67 | 27.71 21.93–33.49 20.42–34.99 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 2.41 1.31–3.50 1.03–3.79 | 4.23 1.98–6.49 1.39–7.08 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 2.42 1.29–3.55 1.00–3.84 | 4.41 2.23–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 1.98 0.55–3.42 0.16–3.81 | 3.83 2.27–5.39 1.85–5.81 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.62 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.