Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.140.842.98safe1.17–3.110.00–1.701.16–4.81safer0.92–3.360.00–1.920.68–5.29
Shots on target
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.462.838.30safe3.60–7.321.09–4.584.69–11.90safer3.11–7.810.63–5.043.73–12.86
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction15.578.6724.24safe11.65–19.495.11–12.2316.75–31.73safer10.55–20.594.15–13.1914.70–33.78
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.665.3516.01safe7.72–13.602.67–8.0310.38–21.63safer6.89–14.431.93–8.778.82–23.20
Blocked shots
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.536.54safe2.14–5.900.87–4.183.01–10.08safer1.59–6.440.38–4.671.97–11.11
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.179.40safe4.01–8.441.17–5.175.18–13.61safer3.44–9.010.64–5.714.08–14.72
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.7540.80safe51.96–65.5434.01–47.58safer50.29–67.2132.34–49.25
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction480338818safe413–547272–405685–952safer395–566254–422649–988
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction72.0267.29safe67.99–76.0562.96–71.61safer66.70–77.3461.66–72.92
Fouls
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2315.1930.42safe12.39–18.0612.25–18.1424.63–36.20safer11.63–18.8211.50–18.8923.13–37.70
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.273.42safe0.99–3.310.17–2.361.16–5.67safer0.69–3.610.00–2.650.58–6.26
Yellow cards
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.664.45safe0.74–2.841.53–3.792.27–6.63safer0.47–3.101.24–4.081.72–7.19
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
20%
15%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.415.41safe0.56–3.431.86–4.972.41–8.40safer0.17–3.821.43–5.391.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.14 1.17–3.11 0.92–3.36 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.92 | 2.98 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.46 3.60–7.32 3.11–7.81 | 2.83 1.09–4.58 0.63–5.04 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.73–12.86 | 77% 13% |
| Total shots | 15.57 11.65–19.49 10.55–20.59 | 8.67 5.11–12.23 4.15–13.19 | 24.24 16.75–31.73 14.70–33.78 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.66 7.72–13.60 6.89–14.43 | 5.35 2.67–8.03 1.93–8.77 | 16.01 10.38–21.63 8.82–23.20 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 2.53 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 6.54 3.01–10.08 1.97–11.11 | 65% 14% 21% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.44 3.44–9.01 | 3.17 1.17–5.17 0.64–5.71 | 9.40 5.18–13.61 4.08–14.72 | 80% |
| Possession % | 58.75 51.96–65.54 50.29–67.21 | 40.80 34.01–47.58 32.34–49.25 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 480 413–547 395–566 | 338 272–405 254–422 | 818 685–952 649–988 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.02 67.99–76.05 66.70–77.34 | 67.29 62.96–71.61 61.66–72.92 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 15.23 12.39–18.06 11.63–18.82 | 15.19 12.25–18.14 11.50–18.89 | 30.42 24.63–36.20 23.13–37.70 | 47% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.27 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 4.45 2.27–6.63 1.72–7.19 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 5.41 2.41–8.40 1.60–9.21 | 20% 15% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+