Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.232.42safe0.22–2.160.38–2.090.60–4.25safer0.00–2.410.15–2.320.12–4.73
Shots on target
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.803.857.65safe1.94–5.672.11–5.594.05–11.26safer1.45–6.161.64–6.063.09–12.21
Total shots
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9511.2923.24safe8.03–15.887.73–14.8515.75–30.73safer6.93–16.976.77–15.8113.70–32.78
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction7.887.1715.05safe4.94–10.834.49–9.859.43–20.68safer4.11–11.663.75–10.597.86–22.24
Blocked shots
51%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.615.79safe1.30–5.060.96–4.262.26–9.33safer0.76–5.610.47–4.761.22–10.36
Corners
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.684.278.94safe2.46–6.892.27–6.274.73–13.16safer1.89–7.461.73–6.803.62–14.26
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction48.2152.59safe41.42–55.0045.81–59.38safer39.75–56.6744.14–61.05
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction355395750safe288–422328–461616–883safer270–440311–479580–919
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction66.4870.87safe62.45–70.5166.55–75.19safer61.16–71.8065.24–76.50
Fouls
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7017.1834.89safe14.87–20.5414.24–20.1329.10–40.67safer14.11–21.3013.49–20.8827.60–42.17
Offsides
22%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.534.04safe0.36–2.681.43–3.621.79–6.30safer0.06–2.981.14–3.911.20–6.89
Yellow cards
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.685.44safe1.70–3.801.56–3.813.26–7.62safer1.44–4.071.26–4.102.70–8.17
Red cards
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.170.31safe0.00–0.300.00–0.350.00–0.66safer0.00–0.450.00–0.490.00–0.94
GK saves
40%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.532.595.12safe1.09–3.961.04–4.152.13–8.11safer0.70–4.350.61–4.571.31–8.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 35% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.80 1.94–5.67 1.45–6.16 | 3.85 2.11–5.59 1.64–6.06 | 7.65 4.05–11.26 3.09–12.21 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Total shots | 11.95 8.03–15.88 6.93–16.97 | 11.29 7.73–14.85 6.77–15.81 | 23.24 15.75–30.73 13.70–32.78 | 51% 40% |
| Shots in box | 7.88 4.94–10.83 4.11–11.66 | 7.17 4.49–9.85 3.75–10.59 | 15.05 9.43–20.68 7.86–22.24 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.18 1.30–5.06 0.76–5.61 | 2.61 0.96–4.26 0.47–4.76 | 5.79 2.26–9.33 1.22–10.36 | 51% 17% 33% |
| Corners | 4.68 2.46–6.89 1.89–7.46 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.73–6.80 | 8.94 4.73–13.16 3.62–14.26 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.21 41.42–55.00 39.75–56.67 | 52.59 45.81–59.38 44.14–61.05 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 355 288–422 270–440 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 750 616–883 580–919 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.48 62.45–70.51 61.16–71.80 | 70.87 66.55–75.19 65.24–76.50 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 17.70 14.87–20.54 14.11–21.30 | 17.18 14.24–20.13 13.49–20.88 | 34.89 29.10–40.67 27.60–42.17 | 50% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.53 1.43–3.62 1.14–3.91 | 4.04 1.79–6.30 1.20–6.89 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 2.75 1.70–3.80 1.44–4.07 | 2.68 1.56–3.81 1.26–4.10 | 5.44 3.26–7.62 2.70–8.17 | 42% 18% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 75% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 2.59 1.04–4.15 0.61–4.57 | 5.12 2.13–8.11 1.31–8.92 | 40% 18% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+