Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
28%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.360.912.28safe0.39–2.330.06–1.770.45–4.10safer0.14–2.580.00–2.000.00–4.58
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.853.127.97safe2.99–6.721.38–4.864.37–11.58safer2.50–7.200.91–5.333.41–12.53
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9510.0224.97safe11.02–18.876.46–13.5917.48–32.46safer9.93–19.965.50–14.5515.43–34.51
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.296.1515.44safe6.35–12.233.47–8.839.81–21.06safer5.52–13.062.73–9.578.25–22.63
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.816.89safe2.19–5.961.16–4.463.35–10.42safer1.65–6.500.67–4.962.32–11.46
Corners
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.808.96safe2.95–7.381.80–5.804.75–13.17safer2.38–7.951.26–6.333.64–14.28
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction50.9448.80safe44.15–57.7342.02–55.59safer42.48–59.4040.35–57.26
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction410385795safe343–477319–451661–929safer325–495301–469626–964
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction66.6468.34safe62.61–70.6764.01–72.66safer61.32–71.9662.70–73.97
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4217.9634.38safe13.58–19.2615.02–20.9128.60–40.16safer12.83–20.0114.27–21.6527.09–41.67
Offsides
57%
19%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.391.493.88safe1.23–3.550.40–2.581.62–6.13safer0.93–3.850.11–2.871.03–6.72
Yellow cards
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.895.51safe1.57–3.671.76–4.023.33–7.69safer1.30–3.941.47–4.312.77–8.24
Red cards
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.160.26safe0.00–0.260.00–0.350.00–0.61safer0.00–0.410.00–0.480.00–0.89
GK saves
25%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.365.63safe0.83–3.711.80–4.922.64–8.62safer0.45–4.091.38–5.341.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.28 0.45–4.10 0.00–4.58 | 47% 28% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.85 2.99–6.72 2.50–7.20 | 3.12 1.38–4.86 0.91–5.33 | 7.97 4.37–11.58 3.41–12.53 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 14.95 11.02–18.87 9.93–19.96 | 10.02 6.46–13.59 5.50–14.55 | 24.97 17.48–32.46 15.43–34.51 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.35–12.23 5.52–13.06 | 6.15 3.47–8.83 2.73–9.57 | 15.44 9.81–21.06 8.25–22.63 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 2.81 1.16–4.46 0.67–4.96 | 6.89 3.35–10.42 2.32–11.46 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.95–7.38 2.38–7.95 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.26–6.33 | 8.96 4.75–13.17 3.64–14.28 | 61% 26% |
| Possession % | 50.94 44.15–57.73 42.48–59.40 | 48.80 42.02–55.59 40.35–57.26 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 410 343–477 325–495 | 385 319–451 301–469 | 795 661–929 626–964 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.64 62.61–70.67 61.32–71.96 | 68.34 64.01–72.66 62.70–73.97 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 16.42 13.58–19.26 12.83–20.01 | 17.96 15.02–20.91 14.27–21.65 | 34.38 28.60–40.16 27.09–41.67 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.39 1.23–3.55 0.93–3.85 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.88 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 57% 19% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 2.62 1.57–3.67 1.30–3.94 | 2.89 1.76–4.02 1.47–4.31 | 5.51 3.33–7.69 2.77–8.24 | 37% 17% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.71 0.45–4.09 | 3.36 1.80–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 5.63 2.64–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 25% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.