Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.152.57safe0.45–2.390.30–2.010.75–4.39safer0.20–2.640.07–2.240.27–4.87
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.098.74safe2.79–6.522.34–5.835.14–12.35safer2.30–7.011.88–6.304.18–13.30
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9212.3325.25safe9.00–16.848.76–15.8917.76–32.73safer7.90–17.947.80–16.8515.71–34.78
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.067.3915.45safe5.12–11.014.71–10.079.83–21.07safer4.29–11.843.97–10.818.26–22.64
Blocked shots
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.316.17safe0.98–4.741.66–4.962.64–9.71safer0.44–5.291.17–5.461.60–10.74
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.229.56safe3.12–7.552.22–6.225.35–13.78safer2.55–8.131.69–6.764.24–14.88
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.2150.40safe42.42–56.0043.61–57.18safer40.75–57.6741.94–58.85
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction415389804safe348–482322–455670–937safer330–500305–473634–973
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction66.8369.56safe62.80–70.8665.23–73.88safer61.50–72.1563.92–75.19
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6117.0932.70safe12.77–18.4514.14–20.0326.92–38.48safer12.02–19.2113.39–20.7825.41–39.99
Offsides
57%
17%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.861.964.82safe1.70–4.020.87–3.052.56–7.07safer1.40–4.320.58–3.341.98–7.66
Yellow cards
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.402.745.15safe1.35–3.451.62–3.872.97–7.33safer1.09–3.721.32–4.162.41–7.88
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.150.26safe0.00–0.270.00–0.340.00–0.61safer0.00–0.420.00–0.470.00–0.89
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.186.09safe1.48–4.351.62–4.743.10–9.09safer1.09–4.741.20–5.162.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.79–6.52 2.30–7.01 | 4.09 2.34–5.83 1.88–6.30 | 8.74 5.14–12.35 4.18–13.30 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 12.92 9.00–16.84 7.90–17.94 | 12.33 8.76–15.89 7.80–16.85 | 25.25 17.76–32.73 15.71–34.78 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.06 5.12–11.01 4.29–11.84 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.97–10.81 | 15.45 9.83–21.07 8.26–22.64 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 2.86 0.98–4.74 0.44–5.29 | 3.31 1.66–4.96 1.17–5.46 | 6.17 2.64–9.71 1.60–10.74 | 35% 16% 49% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.12–7.55 2.55–8.13 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.76 | 9.56 5.35–13.78 4.24–14.88 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 49.21 42.42–56.00 40.75–57.67 | 50.40 43.61–57.18 41.94–58.85 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 415 348–482 330–500 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 804 670–937 634–973 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.83 62.80–70.86 61.50–72.15 | 69.56 65.23–73.88 63.92–75.19 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 15.61 12.77–18.45 12.02–19.21 | 17.09 14.14–20.03 13.39–20.78 | 32.70 26.92–38.48 25.41–39.99 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.86 1.70–4.02 1.40–4.32 | 1.96 0.87–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 4.82 2.56–7.07 1.98–7.66 | 57% 17% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.40 1.35–3.45 1.09–3.72 | 2.74 1.62–3.87 1.32–4.16 | 5.15 2.97–7.33 2.41–7.88 | 35% 18% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.18 1.62–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 6.09 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

