Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.710.703.42safe1.75–3.680.00–1.561.59–5.24safer1.49–3.930.00–1.791.11–5.72
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction7.882.3810.26safe6.02–9.750.64–4.126.66–13.87safer5.53–10.230.17–4.595.70–14.82
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction21.677.6129.28safe17.75–25.604.05–11.1721.79–36.77safer16.66–26.693.09–12.1319.74–38.82
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.474.2417.71safe10.53–16.411.56–6.9212.09–23.33safer9.70–17.240.82–7.6610.52–24.90
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.702.257.95safe3.81–7.580.60–3.904.41–11.48safer3.27–8.120.10–4.393.38–12.52
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.972.5210.48safe5.75–10.180.52–4.526.27–14.70safer5.18–10.760.00–5.055.16–15.80
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.9132.10safe61.12–74.7025.31–38.88safer59.45–76.3723.64–40.55
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction607257864safe539–674191–324730–998safer521–692173–341694–1033
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction76.9163.17safe72.88–80.9458.84–67.49safer71.59–82.2457.53–68.80
Fouls
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6114.5230.13safe12.77–18.4511.57–17.4624.35–35.91safer12.02–19.2010.83–18.2122.84–37.42
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.322.96safe0.48–2.800.23–2.410.71–5.21safer0.18–3.100.00–2.700.12–5.80
Yellow cards
21%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.724.28safe0.51–2.611.59–3.852.10–6.46safer0.25–2.881.30–4.141.54–7.01
Red cards
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.21safe0.00–0.230.00–0.340.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.470.00–0.84
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction1.794.976.76safe0.35–3.223.41–6.533.77–9.75safer0.00–3.612.99–6.952.95–10.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.71 1.75–3.68 1.49–3.93 | 0.70 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 3.42 1.59–5.24 1.11–5.72 | 80% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.88 6.02–9.75 5.53–10.23 | 2.38 0.64–4.12 0.17–4.59 | 10.26 6.66–13.87 5.70–14.82 | 95% |
| Total shots | 21.67 17.75–25.60 16.66–26.69 | 7.61 4.05–11.17 3.09–12.13 | 29.28 21.79–36.77 19.74–38.82 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 13.47 10.53–16.41 9.70–17.24 | 4.24 1.56–6.92 0.82–7.66 | 17.71 12.09–23.33 10.52–24.90 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.70 3.81–7.58 3.27–8.12 | 2.25 0.60–3.90 0.10–4.39 | 7.95 4.41–11.48 3.38–12.52 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.97 5.75–10.18 5.18–10.76 | 2.52 0.52–4.52 0.00–5.05 | 10.48 6.27–14.70 5.16–15.80 | 94% |
| Possession % | 67.91 61.12–74.70 59.45–76.37 | 32.10 25.31–38.88 23.64–40.55 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 607 539–674 521–692 | 257 191–324 173–341 | 864 730–998 694–1033 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.91 72.88–80.94 71.59–82.24 | 63.17 58.84–67.49 57.53–68.80 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 15.61 12.77–18.45 12.02–19.20 | 14.52 11.57–17.46 10.83–18.21 | 30.13 24.35–35.91 22.84–37.42 | 54% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.32 0.23–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 2.96 0.71–5.21 0.12–5.80 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.72 1.59–3.85 1.30–4.14 | 4.28 2.10–6.46 1.54–7.01 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% 13% |
| GK saves | 1.79 0.35–3.22 0.00–3.61 | 4.97 3.41–6.53 2.99–6.95 | 6.76 3.77–9.75 2.95–10.56 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

