Super League 1·Regular Season - 22·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.420.713.13safe1.45–3.380.00–1.561.30–4.95safer1.20–3.640.00–1.790.82–5.43
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.682.839.51safe4.82–8.541.09–4.575.91–13.12safer4.33–9.030.62–5.044.95–14.07
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.908.7028.60safe15.98–23.835.14–12.2621.12–36.09safer14.89–24.924.18–13.2219.06–38.14
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.815.6918.49safe9.87–15.753.00–8.3712.87–24.12safer9.04–16.582.27–9.1011.30–25.68
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.982.047.02safe3.09–6.860.39–3.693.48–10.55safer2.55–7.400.00–4.192.44–11.59
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.793.3710.17safe4.58–9.011.37–5.375.95–14.38safer4.01–9.580.84–5.914.85–15.49
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.5134.17safe58.72–72.3027.39–40.96safer57.05–73.9725.71–42.63
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction560287847safe492–627221–354713–981safer474–645203–371678–1016
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction78.4266.38safe74.39–82.4562.06–70.71safer73.10–83.7460.75–72.02
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9315.2528.18safe10.09–15.7712.31–18.2022.40–33.96safer9.33–16.5211.56–18.9520.89–35.47
Offsides
48%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.433.29safe0.69–3.020.34–2.531.03–5.54safer0.39–3.320.05–2.810.44–6.13
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.574.41safe0.79–2.891.44–3.702.23–6.58safer0.52–3.151.15–3.991.67–7.14
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.150.22safe0.00–0.230.00–0.340.00–0.57safer0.00–0.380.00–0.470.00–0.85
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.174.256.42safe0.74–3.612.69–5.813.43–9.42safer0.35–4.002.27–6.232.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.42 1.45–3.38 1.20–3.64 | 0.71 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 3.13 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 75% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.68 4.82–8.54 4.33–9.03 | 2.83 1.09–4.57 0.62–5.04 | 9.51 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.07 | 87% |
| Total shots | 19.90 15.98–23.83 14.89–24.92 | 8.70 5.14–12.26 4.18–13.22 | 28.60 21.12–36.09 19.06–38.14 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.81 9.87–15.75 9.04–16.58 | 5.69 3.00–8.37 2.27–9.10 | 18.49 12.87–24.12 11.30–25.68 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.98 3.09–6.86 2.55–7.40 | 2.04 0.39–3.69 0.00–4.19 | 7.02 3.48–10.55 2.44–11.59 | 82% |
| Corners | 6.79 4.58–9.01 4.01–9.58 | 3.37 1.37–5.37 0.84–5.91 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 82% |
| Possession % | 65.51 58.72–72.30 57.05–73.97 | 34.17 27.39–40.96 25.71–42.63 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 560 492–627 474–645 | 287 221–354 203–371 | 847 713–981 678–1016 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.42 74.39–82.45 73.10–83.74 | 66.38 62.06–70.71 60.75–72.02 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.93 10.09–15.77 9.33–16.52 | 15.25 12.31–18.20 11.56–18.95 | 28.18 22.40–33.96 20.89–35.47 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 1.43 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.81 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 48% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 2.57 1.44–3.70 1.15–3.99 | 4.41 2.23–6.58 1.67–7.14 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 4.25 2.69–5.81 2.27–6.23 | 6.42 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.