Super League 1·Regular Season - 22·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.752.092.84safe0.00–1.721.24–2.951.02–4.66safer0.00–1.971.01–3.170.54–5.14
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.795.978.76safe0.93–4.664.23–7.715.16–12.37safer0.44–5.143.76–8.184.20–13.32
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6816.4725.15safe4.76–12.6112.91–20.0417.67–32.64safer3.67–13.7011.95–20.9915.62–34.69
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction4.9410.8415.78safe2.00–7.888.16–13.5210.16–21.40safer1.17–8.717.42–14.268.59–22.97
Blocked shots
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.236.59safe0.48–4.242.57–5.883.05–10.12safer0.00–4.792.08–6.372.01–11.16
Corners
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.496.199.68safe1.28–5.714.19–8.195.47–13.90safer0.71–6.283.66–8.724.36–15.00
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.5764.05safe30.78–44.3657.27–70.84safer29.11–46.0355.60–72.51
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction329547876safe262–396481–614742–1010safer243–414463–631707–1046
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction62.3478.03safe58.32–66.3773.71–82.36safer57.02–67.6772.40–83.67
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2415.4029.63safe11.40–17.0712.45–18.3423.85–35.42safer10.64–17.8311.71–19.0922.35–36.92
Offsides
26%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.193.70safe0.35–2.671.10–3.281.44–5.95safer0.05–2.970.81–3.570.85–6.54
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.254.57safe1.27–3.371.12–3.382.39–6.75safer1.00–3.630.83–3.671.83–7.31
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
67%
14%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.035.64safe2.18–5.050.47–3.592.65–8.64safer1.79–5.440.05–4.011.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.75 0.00–1.72 0.00–1.97 | 2.09 1.24–2.95 1.01–3.17 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 19% 69% |
| Shots on target | 2.79 0.93–4.66 0.44–5.14 | 5.97 4.23–7.71 3.76–8.18 | 8.76 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.32 | 82% |
| Total shots | 8.68 4.76–12.61 3.67–13.70 | 16.47 12.91–20.04 11.95–20.99 | 25.15 17.67–32.64 15.62–34.69 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 4.94 2.00–7.88 1.17–8.71 | 10.84 8.16–13.52 7.42–14.26 | 15.78 10.16–21.40 8.59–22.97 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 2.36 0.48–4.24 0.00–4.79 | 4.23 2.57–5.88 2.08–6.37 | 6.59 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.16 | 17% 70% |
| Corners | 3.49 1.28–5.71 0.71–6.28 | 6.19 4.19–8.19 3.66–8.72 | 9.68 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.00 | 15% 76% |
| Possession % | 37.57 30.78–44.36 29.11–46.03 | 64.05 57.27–70.84 55.60–72.51 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 329 262–396 243–414 | 547 481–614 463–631 | 876 742–1010 707–1046 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.34 58.32–66.37 57.02–67.67 | 78.03 73.71–82.36 72.40–83.67 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 14.24 11.40–17.07 10.64–17.83 | 15.40 12.45–18.34 11.71–19.09 | 29.63 23.85–35.42 22.35–36.92 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 2.19 1.10–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 3.70 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 26% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.00–3.63 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.57 2.39–6.75 1.83–7.31 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.61 2.18–5.05 1.79–5.44 | 2.03 0.47–3.59 0.05–4.01 | 5.64 2.65–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 67% 14% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.