Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.182.54safe0.39–2.320.33–2.040.71–4.36safer0.13–2.570.10–2.270.24–4.84
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.203.497.69safe2.34–6.061.75–5.234.09–11.30safer1.85–6.551.28–5.703.13–12.25
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3211.0524.37safe9.40–17.257.48–14.6116.88–31.86safer8.31–18.346.53–15.5714.83–33.91
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction8.246.3914.63safe5.30–11.183.71–9.079.00–20.25safer4.47–12.012.97–9.817.44–21.82
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.656.29safe1.76–5.520.99–4.302.75–9.82safer1.22–6.070.50–4.791.72–10.86
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.089.18safe2.88–7.312.08–6.084.97–13.39safer2.31–7.881.55–6.623.86–14.50
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.2247.67safe45.43–59.0140.88–54.45safer43.76–60.6839.21–56.12
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction387363750safe320–455296–429616–884safer302–473279–447581–919
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction67.2067.86safe63.17–71.2363.54–72.19safer61.88–72.5262.23–73.50
Fouls
49%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7216.4333.15safe13.88–19.5613.48–19.3727.37–38.93safer13.13–20.3112.74–20.1225.86–40.44
Offsides
16%
16%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.764.07safe0.15–2.471.67–3.861.82–6.33safer0.00–2.771.38–4.151.23–6.91
Yellow cards
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.595.09safe1.45–3.551.46–3.722.91–7.27safer1.18–3.811.17–4.012.35–7.82
Red cards
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.170.32safe0.00–0.310.00–0.350.00–0.67safer0.00–0.460.00–0.490.00–0.95
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.985.34safe0.92–3.801.43–4.542.35–8.34safer0.54–4.181.00–4.971.54–9.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.54 0.71–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 41% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.20 2.34–6.06 1.85–6.55 | 3.49 1.75–5.23 1.28–5.70 | 7.69 4.09–11.30 3.13–12.25 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.32 9.40–17.25 8.31–18.34 | 11.05 7.48–14.61 6.53–15.57 | 24.37 16.88–31.86 14.83–33.91 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.24 5.30–11.18 4.47–12.01 | 6.39 3.71–9.07 2.97–9.81 | 14.63 9.00–20.25 7.44–21.82 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.22–6.07 | 2.65 0.99–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 6.29 2.75–9.82 1.72–10.86 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.62 | 9.18 4.97–13.39 3.86–14.50 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 52.22 45.43–59.01 43.76–60.68 | 47.67 40.88–54.45 39.21–56.12 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 387 320–455 302–473 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 750 616–884 581–919 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.20 63.17–71.23 61.88–72.52 | 67.86 63.54–72.19 62.23–73.50 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 16.72 13.88–19.56 13.13–20.31 | 16.43 13.48–19.37 12.74–20.12 | 33.15 27.37–38.93 25.86–40.44 | 49% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 2.76 1.67–3.86 1.38–4.15 | 4.07 1.82–6.33 1.23–6.91 | 16% 16% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 2.50 1.45–3.55 1.18–3.81 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 5.09 2.91–7.27 2.35–7.82 | 39% 18% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 75% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.80 0.54–4.18 | 2.98 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.97 | 5.34 2.35–8.34 1.54–9.15 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.