Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.302.73safe0.46–2.400.45–2.160.91–4.55safer0.21–2.650.22–2.380.43–5.03
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.898.45safe2.70–6.432.15–5.634.85–12.06safer2.21–6.911.68–6.103.89–13.01
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3211.4724.79safe9.40–17.257.91–15.0317.30–32.28safer8.31–18.346.95–15.9915.25–34.33
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.347.8817.23safe6.40–12.295.20–10.5611.60–22.85safer5.57–13.114.46–11.3010.04–24.42
Blocked shots
41%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.466.81safe1.47–5.231.81–5.113.28–10.35safer0.93–5.781.31–5.612.24–11.38
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.299.54safe3.04–7.472.29–6.295.33–13.76safer2.47–8.041.75–6.824.22–14.86
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.8554.90safe39.06–52.6448.12–61.69safer37.39–54.3146.45–63.36
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction398469868safe331–466403–536734–1001safer313–484385–553698–1037
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction63.4872.00safe59.45–67.5167.68–76.32safer58.16–68.8066.37–77.63
Fouls
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5612.1227.68safe12.73–18.409.17–15.0621.90–33.46safer11.97–19.168.42–15.8120.39–34.97
Offsides
55%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.423.63safe1.04–3.360.33–2.521.37–5.88safer0.74–3.670.04–2.800.78–6.47
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.094.08safe0.94–3.040.96–3.221.90–6.26safer0.68–3.310.67–3.511.35–6.82
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
32%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.145.65safe1.08–3.951.58–4.702.66–8.64safer0.69–4.341.16–5.121.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.38 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.70–6.43 2.21–6.91 | 3.89 2.15–5.63 1.68–6.10 | 8.45 4.85–12.06 3.89–13.01 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.32 9.40–17.25 8.31–18.34 | 11.47 7.91–15.03 6.95–15.99 | 24.79 17.30–32.28 15.25–34.33 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.34 6.40–12.29 5.57–13.11 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 17.23 11.60–22.85 10.04–24.42 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.93–5.78 | 3.46 1.81–5.11 1.31–5.61 | 6.81 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.38 | 41% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.75–6.82 | 9.54 5.33–13.76 4.22–14.86 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 45.85 39.06–52.64 37.39–54.31 | 54.90 48.12–61.69 46.45–63.36 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 398 331–466 313–484 | 469 403–536 385–553 | 868 734–1001 698–1037 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.48 59.45–67.51 58.16–68.80 | 72.00 67.68–76.32 66.37–77.63 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 15.56 12.73–18.40 11.97–19.16 | 12.12 9.17–15.06 8.42–15.81 | 27.68 21.90–33.46 20.39–34.97 | 71% 23% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.04–3.36 0.74–3.67 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.80 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 55% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.08 1.90–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.85–9.46 | 32% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.