Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
23%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.862.91safe0.08–2.021.01–2.721.09–4.73safer0.00–2.270.78–2.940.61–5.21
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.099.13safe2.17–5.903.35–6.845.53–12.74safer1.68–6.392.89–7.304.57–13.69
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7013.6126.31safe8.77–16.6210.04–17.1718.82–33.79safer7.68–17.729.09–18.1316.77–35.84
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.448.9616.40safe4.50–10.396.28–11.6410.78–22.03safer3.67–11.225.54–12.389.21–23.59
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.236.57safe1.45–5.221.58–4.883.03–10.10safer0.91–5.761.08–5.371.99–11.14
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.105.139.23safe1.89–6.323.13–7.135.02–13.44safer1.31–6.892.59–7.663.91–14.55
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.2758.07safe35.48–49.0651.29–64.86safer33.81–50.7349.62–66.53
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction345476821safe278–413409–542687–955safer260–431392–560652–990
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction60.5575.09safe56.52–64.5870.76–79.41safer55.23–65.8769.45–80.72
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4215.6432.07safe13.59–19.2612.70–18.5926.28–37.85safer12.83–20.0211.95–19.3324.78–39.35
Offsides
17%
15%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.593.064.65safe0.43–2.751.97–4.152.39–6.90safer0.13–3.051.68–4.441.80–7.49
Yellow cards
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.772.655.42safe1.72–3.811.52–3.783.24–7.60safer1.45–4.081.23–4.072.68–8.15
Red cards
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.150.32safe0.01–0.340.00–0.340.00–0.67safer0.00–0.490.00–0.470.00–0.95
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.142.795.94safe1.71–4.581.24–4.352.94–8.93safer1.32–4.970.81–4.772.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.86 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.94 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 21% 23% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.17–5.90 1.68–6.39 | 5.09 3.35–6.84 2.89–7.30 | 9.13 5.53–12.74 4.57–13.69 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.70 8.77–16.62 7.68–17.72 | 13.61 10.04–17.17 9.09–18.13 | 26.31 18.82–33.79 16.77–35.84 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 7.44 4.50–10.39 3.67–11.22 | 8.96 6.28–11.64 5.54–12.38 | 16.40 10.78–22.03 9.21–23.59 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.45–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 3.23 1.58–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 6.57 3.03–10.10 1.99–11.14 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.10 1.89–6.32 1.31–6.89 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.59–7.66 | 9.23 5.02–13.44 3.91–14.55 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 42.27 35.48–49.06 33.81–50.73 | 58.07 51.29–64.86 49.62–66.53 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 345 278–413 260–431 | 476 409–542 392–560 | 821 687–955 652–990 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.55 56.52–64.58 55.23–65.87 | 75.09 70.76–79.41 69.45–80.72 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 16.42 13.59–19.26 12.83–20.02 | 15.64 12.70–18.59 11.95–19.33 | 32.07 26.28–37.85 24.78–39.35 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 3.06 1.97–4.15 1.68–4.44 | 4.65 2.39–6.90 1.80–7.49 | 17% 15% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 2.77 1.72–3.81 1.45–4.08 | 2.65 1.52–3.78 1.23–4.07 | 5.42 3.24–7.60 2.68–8.15 | 43% 18% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.01–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 14% 74% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.71–4.58 1.32–4.97 | 2.79 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.77 | 5.94 2.94–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.