Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.113.13safe1.05–2.990.26–1.961.31–4.95safer0.80–3.240.03–2.190.83–5.43
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.379.14safe3.91–7.631.62–5.115.53–12.74safer3.42–8.121.16–5.574.58–13.70
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.089.8225.90safe12.15–20.006.25–13.3818.41–33.38safer11.06–21.105.30–14.3416.36–35.44
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.756.2517.01safe7.81–13.703.57–8.9311.38–22.63safer6.98–14.532.83–9.679.82–24.20
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.047.03safe2.11–5.881.39–4.693.50–10.57safer1.57–6.420.89–5.192.46–11.60
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.713.659.36safe3.50–7.921.65–5.655.15–13.58safer2.92–8.501.12–6.184.04–14.68
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.6748.14safe45.88–59.4641.35–54.92safer44.21–61.1339.68–56.59
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction454408862safe387–521341–474728–995safer368–539324–492692–1031
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction70.3371.25safe66.30–74.3666.93–75.58safer65.01–75.6565.62–76.89
Fouls
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3512.2927.64safe12.51–18.189.34–15.2321.85–33.42safer11.75–18.948.59–15.9820.35–34.92
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.303.40safe0.94–3.260.21–2.401.15–5.65safer0.63–3.560.00–2.680.56–6.24
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.294.16safe0.82–2.911.16–3.421.98–6.33safer0.55–3.180.87–3.711.42–6.89
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.645.93safe0.86–3.732.08–5.192.93–8.92safer0.47–4.121.65–5.622.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 1.11 0.26–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 3.13 1.31–4.95 0.83–5.43 | 58% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.77 3.91–7.63 3.42–8.12 | 3.37 1.62–5.11 1.16–5.57 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.08 12.15–20.00 11.06–21.10 | 9.82 6.25–13.38 5.30–14.34 | 25.90 18.41–33.38 16.36–35.44 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.75 7.81–13.70 6.98–14.53 | 6.25 3.57–8.93 2.83–9.67 | 17.01 11.38–22.63 9.82–24.20 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.88 1.57–6.42 | 3.04 1.39–4.69 0.89–5.19 | 7.03 3.50–10.57 2.46–11.60 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.50–7.92 2.92–8.50 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.12–6.18 | 9.36 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.68 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 52.67 45.88–59.46 44.21–61.13 | 48.14 41.35–54.92 39.68–56.59 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 454 387–521 368–539 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 862 728–995 692–1031 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.33 66.30–74.36 65.01–75.65 | 71.25 66.93–75.58 65.62–76.89 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 15.35 12.51–18.18 11.75–18.94 | 12.29 9.34–15.23 8.59–15.98 | 27.64 21.85–33.42 20.35–34.92 | 69% 25% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.63–3.56 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.68 | 3.40 1.15–5.65 0.56–6.24 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.16 1.98–6.33 1.42–6.89 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.64 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.62 | 5.93 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.