Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.682.75safe0.10–2.030.83–2.540.92–4.57safer0.00–2.280.60–2.770.44–5.05
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.325.368.68safe1.46–5.193.61–7.105.08–12.29safer0.97–5.683.15–7.574.12–13.24
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6216.2425.86safe5.70–13.5412.68–19.8018.37–33.35safer4.60–14.6411.72–20.7616.32–35.40
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.919.9915.90safe2.97–8.857.31–12.6710.27–21.52safer2.14–9.686.57–13.418.71–23.09
Blocked shots
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.544.246.78safe0.65–4.422.59–5.903.24–10.32safer0.11–4.962.10–6.392.21–11.35
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.655.559.20safe1.44–5.873.55–7.554.99–13.41safer0.86–6.443.01–8.083.88–14.52
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.6256.20safe37.83–51.4149.42–62.99safer36.16–53.0847.74–64.66
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction411480891safe343–478414–547757–1025safer325–496396–564722–1060
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8076.05safe59.77–67.8371.73–80.38safer58.48–69.1270.42–81.69
Fouls
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8315.0625.89safe7.99–13.6712.11–18.0020.11–31.67safer7.24–14.4211.36–18.7518.60–33.18
Offsides
47%
19%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.371.984.35safe1.21–3.530.89–3.072.10–6.60safer0.91–3.830.60–3.361.51–7.19
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.164.23safe1.03–3.131.03–3.282.06–6.41safer0.76–3.390.74–3.581.50–6.97
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.375.88safe2.07–4.940.82–3.932.88–8.87safer1.68–5.330.39–4.352.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 2.75 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.32 1.46–5.19 0.97–5.68 | 5.36 3.61–7.10 3.15–7.57 | 8.68 5.08–12.29 4.12–13.24 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 9.62 5.70–13.54 4.60–14.64 | 16.24 12.68–19.80 11.72–20.76 | 25.86 18.37–33.35 16.32–35.40 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 5.91 2.97–8.85 2.14–9.68 | 9.99 7.31–12.67 6.57–13.41 | 15.90 10.27–21.52 8.71–23.09 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.54 0.65–4.42 0.11–4.96 | 4.24 2.59–5.90 2.10–6.39 | 6.78 3.24–10.32 2.21–11.35 | 19% 68% |
| Corners | 3.65 1.44–5.87 0.86–6.44 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.01–8.08 | 9.20 4.99–13.41 3.88–14.52 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 44.62 37.83–51.41 36.16–53.08 | 56.20 49.42–62.99 47.74–64.66 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 411 343–478 325–496 | 480 414–547 396–564 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.80 59.77–67.83 58.48–69.12 | 76.05 71.73–80.38 70.42–81.69 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.83 7.99–13.67 7.24–14.42 | 15.06 12.11–18.00 11.36–18.75 | 25.89 20.11–31.67 18.60–33.18 | 18% 77% |
| Offsides | 2.37 1.21–3.53 0.91–3.83 | 1.98 0.89–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 4.35 2.10–6.60 1.51–7.19 | 47% 19% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 2.16 1.03–3.28 0.74–3.58 | 4.23 2.06–6.41 1.50–6.97 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.07–4.94 1.68–5.33 | 2.37 0.82–3.93 0.39–4.35 | 5.88 2.88–8.87 2.07–9.68 | 60% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.