Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.803.30safe0.53–2.460.95–2.661.48–5.12safer0.28–2.720.72–2.891.00–5.60
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.085.3010.38safe3.21–6.943.56–7.046.77–13.98safer2.73–7.433.09–7.515.82–14.94
Total shots
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2414.3529.59safe11.31–19.1610.79–17.9222.11–37.08safer10.22–20.259.83–18.8820.05–39.13
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.079.3019.37safe7.13–13.026.62–11.9813.75–24.99safer6.30–13.855.88–12.7212.18–26.56
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.917.57safe1.78–5.542.26–5.574.03–11.11safer1.23–6.081.77–6.063.00–12.14
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.305.0710.37safe3.08–7.513.07–7.076.15–14.58safer2.51–8.092.53–7.605.04–15.69
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction43.9156.33safe37.12–50.7049.55–63.12safer35.45–52.3747.87–64.79
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction427562990safe360–495496–628856–1123safer342–513478–646820–1159
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction74.8884.40safe70.85–78.9180.07–88.72safer69.56–80.2078.76–90.03
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4610.5821.04safe7.62–13.307.63–13.5215.26–26.82safer6.87–14.066.88–14.2713.75–28.33
Offsides
52%
19%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.804.21safe1.25–3.570.71–2.891.95–6.46safer0.95–3.870.42–3.181.36–7.05
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.553.00safe0.40–2.500.42–2.680.82–5.17safer0.13–2.760.13–2.970.26–5.73
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.296.66safe1.93–4.801.73–4.853.66–9.65safer1.54–5.191.31–5.272.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.46 0.28–2.72 | 1.80 0.95–2.66 0.72–2.89 | 3.30 1.48–5.12 1.00–5.60 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Shots on target | 5.08 3.21–6.94 2.73–7.43 | 5.30 3.56–7.04 3.09–7.51 | 10.38 6.77–13.98 5.82–14.94 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 15.24 11.31–19.16 10.22–20.25 | 14.35 10.79–17.92 9.83–18.88 | 29.59 22.11–37.08 20.05–39.13 | 53% 40% |
| Shots in box | 10.07 7.13–13.02 6.30–13.85 | 9.30 6.62–11.98 5.88–12.72 | 19.37 13.75–24.99 12.18–26.56 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.91 2.26–5.57 1.77–6.06 | 7.57 4.03–11.11 3.00–12.14 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.08–7.51 2.51–8.09 | 5.07 3.07–7.07 2.53–7.60 | 10.37 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.69 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 43.91 37.12–50.70 35.45–52.37 | 56.33 49.55–63.12 47.87–64.79 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 427 360–495 342–513 | 562 496–628 478–646 | 990 856–1123 820–1159 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.88 70.85–78.91 69.56–80.20 | 84.40 80.07–88.72 78.76–90.03 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.46 7.62–13.30 6.87–14.06 | 10.58 7.63–13.52 6.88–14.27 | 21.04 15.26–26.82 13.75–28.33 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.95–3.87 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 4.21 1.95–6.46 1.36–7.05 | 52% 19% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.13–2.76 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.00 0.82–5.17 0.26–5.73 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 3.29 1.73–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 6.66 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.