UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 4·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.590.773.36safe1.62–3.560.00–1.631.54–5.18safer1.37–3.810.00–1.861.06–5.66
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.352.399.74safe5.49–9.210.64–4.136.13–13.34safer5.00–9.700.18–4.595.18–14.30
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.587.2926.86safe15.65–23.503.72–10.8519.38–34.35safer14.56–24.592.76–11.8117.33–36.40
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction13.213.8117.02safe10.26–16.151.13–6.4911.40–22.64safer9.43–16.980.39–7.239.83–24.21
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction4.721.526.24safe2.84–6.600.00–3.172.71–9.78safer2.30–7.150.00–3.671.67–10.81
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.262.439.70safe5.05–9.480.43–4.435.48–13.91safer4.48–10.050.00–4.974.38–15.02
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction69.1732.57safe62.38–75.9625.78–39.35safer60.71–77.6324.11–41.02
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction692306998safe625–759240–372864–1132safer607–777222–390829–1167
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction90.1276.65safe86.09–94.1572.33–80.98safer84.80–95.4471.02–82.29
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6811.8421.51safe6.84–12.528.89–14.7815.73–27.30safer6.08–13.278.14–15.5314.23–28.80
Offsides
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.153.88safe0.56–2.891.06–3.251.62–6.13safer0.26–3.190.77–3.531.03–6.72
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.173.44safe0.22–2.311.05–3.301.26–5.62safer0.00–2.580.75–3.590.70–6.18
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.864.336.19safe0.42–3.302.77–5.893.20–9.18safer0.04–3.682.35–6.312.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.59 1.62–3.56 1.37–3.81 | 0.77 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 3.36 1.54–5.18 1.06–5.66 | 76% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.35 5.49–9.21 5.00–9.70 | 2.39 0.64–4.13 0.18–4.59 | 9.74 6.13–13.34 5.18–14.30 | 93% |
| Total shots | 19.58 15.65–23.50 14.56–24.59 | 7.29 3.72–10.85 2.76–11.81 | 26.86 19.38–34.35 17.33–36.40 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.21 10.26–16.15 9.43–16.98 | 3.81 1.13–6.49 0.39–7.23 | 17.02 11.40–22.64 9.83–24.21 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.60 2.30–7.15 | 1.52 0.00–3.17 0.00–3.67 | 6.24 2.71–9.78 1.67–10.81 | 87% |
| Corners | 7.26 5.05–9.48 4.48–10.05 | 2.43 0.43–4.43 0.00–4.97 | 9.70 5.48–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 92% |
| Possession % | 69.17 62.38–75.96 60.71–77.63 | 32.57 25.78–39.35 24.11–41.02 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 692 625–759 607–777 | 306 240–372 222–390 | 998 864–1132 829–1167 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.12 86.09–94.15 84.80–95.44 | 76.65 72.33–80.98 71.02–82.29 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 9.68 6.84–12.52 6.08–13.27 | 11.84 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.53 | 21.51 15.73–27.30 14.23–28.80 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.89 0.26–3.19 | 2.15 1.06–3.25 0.77–3.53 | 3.88 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.22–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 2.17 1.05–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.70–6.18 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 1.86 0.42–3.30 0.04–3.68 | 4.33 2.77–5.89 2.35–6.31 | 6.19 3.20–9.18 2.39–10.00 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.