UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.860.842.70safe0.89–2.830.00–1.700.88–4.52safer0.64–3.080.00–1.920.40–5.00
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.532.898.42safe3.66–7.391.15–4.634.81–12.02safer3.18–7.880.68–5.103.85–12.98
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.018.7524.75safe12.08–19.935.19–12.3117.27–32.24safer10.99–21.024.23–13.2715.22–34.29
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction9.985.5215.49safe7.03–12.922.84–8.209.87–21.12safer6.20–13.752.10–8.938.30–22.68
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.282.416.69safe2.40–6.160.76–4.063.16–10.23safer1.86–6.710.27–4.562.12–11.26
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.293.329.61safe4.08–8.511.32–5.325.40–13.82safer3.51–9.080.78–5.854.29–14.93
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.8334.33safe59.04–72.6227.54–41.11safer57.37–74.2925.87–42.78
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction626314940safe559–694247–380806–1074safer541–712230–398771–1109
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction87.1872.53safe83.15–91.2168.20–76.85safer81.86–92.5066.89–78.16
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8012.8623.66safe7.96–13.649.92–15.8117.88–29.44safer7.21–14.399.17–16.5516.37–30.95
Offsides
21%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.263.53safe0.11–2.431.17–3.361.28–5.79safer0.00–2.730.88–3.640.69–6.38
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.434.13safe0.65–2.741.31–3.561.95–6.31safer0.38–3.011.01–3.851.39–6.87
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.113.475.58safe0.67–3.541.91–5.032.59–8.57safer0.28–3.931.49–5.451.77–9.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.83 0.64–3.08 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.92 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 61% 22% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.66–7.39 3.18–7.88 | 2.89 1.15–4.63 0.68–5.10 | 8.42 4.81–12.02 3.85–12.98 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.01 12.08–19.93 10.99–21.02 | 8.75 5.19–12.31 4.23–13.27 | 24.75 17.27–32.24 15.22–34.29 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 9.98 7.03–12.92 6.20–13.75 | 5.52 2.84–8.20 2.10–8.93 | 15.49 9.87–21.12 8.30–22.68 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.16 1.86–6.71 | 2.41 0.76–4.06 0.27–4.56 | 6.69 3.16–10.23 2.12–11.26 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.29 4.08–8.51 3.51–9.08 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.78–5.85 | 9.61 5.40–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 79% |
| Possession % | 65.83 59.04–72.62 57.37–74.29 | 34.33 27.54–41.11 25.87–42.78 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 626 559–694 541–712 | 314 247–380 230–398 | 940 806–1074 771–1109 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.18 83.15–91.21 81.86–92.50 | 72.53 68.20–76.85 66.89–78.16 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.80 7.96–13.64 7.21–14.39 | 12.86 9.92–15.81 9.17–16.55 | 23.66 17.88–29.44 16.37–30.95 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.27 0.11–2.43 0.00–2.73 | 2.26 1.17–3.36 0.88–3.64 | 3.53 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 21% 20% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.43 1.31–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.13 1.95–6.31 1.39–6.87 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.11 0.67–3.54 0.28–3.93 | 3.47 1.91–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 5.58 2.59–8.57 1.77–9.38 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.