UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.950.653.60safe1.98–3.920.00–1.511.78–5.43safer1.73–4.170.00–1.741.30–5.91
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.572.4810.04safe5.70–9.430.74–4.226.44–13.65safer5.21–9.920.27–4.695.48–14.61
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.477.6627.13safe15.55–23.404.10–11.2219.64–34.62safer14.46–24.493.14–12.1817.59–36.67
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction12.963.8416.79safe10.01–15.901.15–6.5211.17–22.42safer9.19–16.730.42–7.259.60–23.98
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction4.461.485.94safe2.58–6.350.00–3.132.41–9.48safer2.04–6.890.00–3.621.37–10.51
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.212.629.83safe5.00–9.430.62–4.625.62–14.05safer4.43–10.000.09–5.154.51–15.15
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction69.4331.74safe62.64–76.2224.96–38.53safer60.97–77.8923.29–40.20
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6843271010safe617–751260–393877–1144safer598–769243–411841–1180
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction91.7878.74safe87.75–95.8174.42–83.07safer86.46–97.1073.11–84.38
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1510.4420.58safe7.31–12.997.49–13.3814.80–26.37safer6.56–13.746.74–14.1313.30–27.87
Offsides
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.174.18safe0.85–3.171.08–3.271.93–6.43safer0.54–3.470.79–3.561.34–7.02
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.863.08safe0.18–2.280.73–2.990.91–5.26safer0.00–2.540.44–3.280.35–5.82
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.864.496.35safe0.42–3.302.94–6.053.36–9.34safer0.04–3.682.51–6.472.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.95 1.98–3.92 1.73–4.17 | 0.65 0.00–1.51 0.00–1.74 | 3.60 1.78–5.43 1.30–5.91 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 7.57 5.70–9.43 5.21–9.92 | 2.48 0.74–4.22 0.27–4.69 | 10.04 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.61 | 93% |
| Total shots | 19.47 15.55–23.40 14.46–24.49 | 7.66 4.10–11.22 3.14–12.18 | 27.13 19.64–34.62 17.59–36.67 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.96 10.01–15.90 9.19–16.73 | 3.84 1.15–6.52 0.42–7.25 | 16.79 11.17–22.42 9.60–23.98 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.58–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 1.48 0.00–3.13 0.00–3.62 | 5.94 2.41–9.48 1.37–10.51 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.21 5.00–9.43 4.43–10.00 | 2.62 0.62–4.62 0.09–5.15 | 9.83 5.62–14.05 4.51–15.15 | 91% |
| Possession % | 69.43 62.64–76.22 60.97–77.89 | 31.74 24.96–38.53 23.29–40.20 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 684 617–751 598–769 | 327 260–393 243–411 | 1010 877–1144 841–1180 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 91.78 87.75–95.81 86.46–97.10 | 78.74 74.42–83.07 73.11–84.38 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.15 7.31–12.99 6.56–13.74 | 10.44 7.49–13.38 6.74–14.13 | 20.58 14.80–26.37 13.30–27.87 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.54–3.47 | 2.17 1.08–3.27 0.79–3.56 | 4.18 1.93–6.43 1.34–7.02 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.23 0.18–2.28 0.00–2.54 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.08 0.91–5.26 0.35–5.82 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.86 0.42–3.30 0.04–3.68 | 4.49 2.94–6.05 2.51–6.47 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.55–10.16 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.