UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.560.992.55safe0.60–2.530.13–1.840.73–4.38safer0.34–2.780.00–2.070.25–4.85
Shots on target
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.693.628.31safe2.83–6.551.87–5.364.70–11.91safer2.34–7.041.41–5.833.75–12.87
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1810.0424.22safe10.26–18.116.47–13.6016.73–31.71safer9.17–19.205.51–14.5614.68–33.76
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.977.3316.30safe6.03–11.924.65–10.0110.68–21.93safer5.20–12.753.91–10.759.11–23.49
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.152.836.98safe2.27–6.031.17–4.483.44–10.51safer1.72–6.570.68–4.972.40–11.55
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.194.0210.21safe3.98–8.412.02–6.026.00–14.42safer3.40–8.981.49–6.554.89–15.53
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.6341.52safe51.84–65.4234.73–48.30safer50.17–67.0933.06–49.98
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction516359875safe449–583292–425741–1008safer431–601275–443705–1044
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction72.1865.81safe68.15–76.2161.48–70.13safer66.86–77.5160.17–71.44
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7111.8324.54safe9.87–15.558.88–14.7718.76–30.32safer9.12–16.318.14–15.5217.25–31.83
Offsides
75%
homeawaytotalprediction1.333.304.63safe0.17–2.492.21–4.392.37–6.88safer0.00–2.791.92–4.681.79–7.47
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.224.07safe0.81–2.911.09–3.351.89–6.25safer0.54–3.170.80–3.641.34–6.81
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.995.35safe0.93–3.801.43–4.552.36–8.35safer0.54–4.191.01–4.971.55–9.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.60–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.85 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.55 2.34–7.04 | 3.62 1.87–5.36 1.41–5.83 | 8.31 4.70–11.91 3.75–12.87 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.18 10.26–18.11 9.17–19.20 | 10.04 6.47–13.60 5.51–14.56 | 24.22 16.73–31.71 14.68–33.76 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 8.97 6.03–11.92 5.20–12.75 | 7.33 4.65–10.01 3.91–10.75 | 16.30 10.68–21.93 9.11–23.49 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.15 2.27–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 2.83 1.17–4.48 0.68–4.97 | 6.98 3.44–10.51 2.40–11.55 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 6.19 3.98–8.41 3.40–8.98 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.49–6.55 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 58.63 51.84–65.42 50.17–67.09 | 41.52 34.73–48.30 33.06–49.98 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 431–601 | 359 292–425 275–443 | 875 741–1008 705–1044 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.18 68.15–76.21 66.86–77.51 | 65.81 61.48–70.13 60.17–71.44 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.71 9.87–15.55 9.12–16.31 | 11.83 8.88–14.77 8.14–15.52 | 24.54 18.76–30.32 17.25–31.83 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 3.30 2.21–4.39 1.92–4.68 | 4.63 2.37–6.88 1.79–7.47 | 75% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.34–6.81 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 2.99 1.43–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 5.35 2.36–8.35 1.55–9.16 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.