UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.563.19safe0.66–2.590.71–2.421.36–5.01safer0.40–2.840.48–2.650.88–5.49
Shots on target
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.095.0010.09safe3.23–6.953.26–6.746.49–13.70safer2.74–7.442.79–7.215.53–14.65
Total shots
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9112.8727.78safe10.99–18.849.31–16.4320.30–35.27safer9.90–19.938.35–17.3918.25–37.32
Shots in box
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.579.5219.09safe6.63–12.516.84–12.2013.47–24.71safer5.80–13.346.10–12.9411.90–26.28
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.427.22safe1.91–5.671.77–5.083.68–10.75safer1.37–6.221.28–5.572.65–11.79
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.4610.13safe3.46–7.882.46–6.465.92–14.35safer2.88–8.461.93–7.004.81–15.45
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.9047.43safe46.11–59.6940.65–54.22safer44.44–61.3638.98–55.89
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction470415885safe403–538348–481751–1019safer385–556331–499716–1054
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction68.4970.43safe64.46–72.5266.11–74.76safer63.17–73.8264.80–76.07
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7613.5925.35safe8.92–14.5910.65–16.5419.57–31.13safer8.16–15.359.90–17.2918.06–32.64
Offsides
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.593.905.49safe0.43–2.752.81–4.993.24–7.75safer0.13–3.052.52–5.282.65–8.34
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.224.20safe0.93–3.031.09–3.352.02–6.38safer0.66–3.300.80–3.641.46–6.93
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.356.50safe1.71–4.591.79–4.903.50–9.49safer1.33–4.971.37–5.332.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 3.19 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.09 3.23–6.95 2.74–7.44 | 5.00 3.26–6.74 2.79–7.21 | 10.09 6.49–13.70 5.53–14.65 | 45% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.91 10.99–18.84 9.90–19.93 | 12.87 9.31–16.43 8.35–17.39 | 27.78 20.30–35.27 18.25–37.32 | 61% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.57 6.63–12.51 5.80–13.34 | 9.52 6.84–12.20 6.10–12.94 | 19.09 13.47–24.71 11.90–26.28 | 46% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.37–6.22 | 3.42 1.77–5.08 1.28–5.57 | 7.22 3.68–10.75 2.65–11.79 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.46–7.88 2.88–8.46 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.93–7.00 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.90 46.11–59.69 44.44–61.36 | 47.43 40.65–54.22 38.98–55.89 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 470 403–538 385–556 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.49 64.46–72.52 63.17–73.82 | 70.43 66.11–74.76 64.80–76.07 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.92–14.59 8.16–15.35 | 13.59 10.65–16.54 9.90–17.29 | 25.35 19.57–31.13 18.06–32.64 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 3.90 2.81–4.99 2.52–5.28 | 5.49 3.24–7.75 2.65–8.34 | 78% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.30 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.46–6.93 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.71–4.59 1.33–4.97 | 3.35 1.79–4.90 1.37–5.33 | 6.50 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.