UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.442.69safe0.28–2.220.59–2.300.87–4.51safer0.03–2.470.36–2.520.39–4.99
Shots on target
42%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.528.93safe2.55–6.272.78–6.265.32–12.53safer2.06–6.762.31–6.734.37–13.49
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6812.3224.00safe7.75–15.608.76–15.8816.51–31.49safer6.66–16.697.80–16.8414.46–33.54
Shots in box
42%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.177.4314.59safe4.22–10.114.74–10.118.97–20.22safer3.40–10.944.01–10.847.40–21.78
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.356.37safe1.13–4.901.70–5.002.83–9.90safer0.59–5.441.20–5.491.80–10.94
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.469.43safe2.76–7.192.46–6.465.22–13.65safer2.19–7.761.92–6.994.11–14.75
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.8455.23safe38.05–51.6348.44–62.01safer36.38–53.3046.77–63.68
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction374469843safe307–441403–535709–977safer288–459385–553673–1012
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction71.8475.93safe67.81–75.8771.61–80.26safer66.52–77.1670.30–81.57
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7112.3624.07safe8.87–14.549.42–15.3118.29–29.85safer8.11–15.308.67–16.0616.78–31.36
Offsides
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.793.78safe0.83–3.150.70–2.881.53–6.03safer0.53–3.450.41–3.170.94–6.62
Yellow cards
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.983.71safe0.68–2.780.85–3.111.53–5.89safer0.42–3.050.56–3.400.98–6.45
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.755.75safe1.57–4.441.19–4.312.76–8.74safer1.18–4.830.77–4.731.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.44 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.52 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 33% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 4.52 2.78–6.26 2.31–6.73 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 11.68 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 12.32 8.76–15.88 7.80–16.84 | 24.00 16.51–31.49 14.46–33.54 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.17 4.22–10.11 3.40–10.94 | 7.43 4.74–10.11 4.01–10.84 | 14.59 8.97–20.22 7.40–21.78 | 42% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.13–4.90 0.59–5.44 | 3.35 1.70–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 6.37 2.83–9.90 1.80–10.94 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.76–7.19 2.19–7.76 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.92–6.99 | 9.43 5.22–13.65 4.11–14.75 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 44.84 38.05–51.63 36.38–53.30 | 55.23 48.44–62.01 46.77–63.68 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 374 307–441 288–459 | 469 403–535 385–553 | 843 709–977 673–1012 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.84 67.81–75.87 66.52–77.16 | 75.93 71.61–80.26 70.30–81.57 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.71 8.87–14.54 8.11–15.30 | 12.36 9.42–15.31 8.67–16.06 | 24.07 18.29–29.85 16.78–31.36 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.78 1.53–6.03 0.94–6.62 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.75 1.19–4.31 0.77–4.73 | 5.75 2.76–8.74 1.95–9.56 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.