UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.472.70safe0.26–2.200.61–2.320.87–4.52safer0.01–2.450.38–2.550.40–5.00
Shots on target
42%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.194.308.49safe2.33–6.062.56–6.044.89–12.10safer1.84–6.542.09–6.513.93–13.05
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7611.4324.19safe8.84–16.697.87–14.9916.71–31.68safer7.75–17.786.91–15.9514.66–33.73
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.767.9515.71safe4.82–10.705.27–10.6310.09–21.34safer3.99–11.534.53–11.378.52–22.90
Blocked shots
37%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.283.626.91safe1.40–5.171.97–5.273.37–10.44safer0.86–5.711.48–5.772.34–11.48
Corners
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.684.649.32safe2.47–6.892.64–6.645.11–13.53safer1.89–7.472.11–7.174.00–14.64
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.6355.58safe37.84–51.4248.79–62.36safer36.17–53.0947.12–64.03
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction366497863safe299–434430–563729–997safer281–452413–581694–1032
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction76.6982.60safe72.67–80.7278.28–86.93safer71.37–82.0276.97–88.24
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7512.6425.39safe9.91–15.599.70–15.5919.61–31.17safer9.15–16.348.95–16.3418.10–32.68
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.853.38safe0.37–2.690.76–2.951.13–5.64safer0.07–2.990.47–3.240.54–6.23
Yellow cards
35%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.073.89safe0.77–2.860.95–3.201.71–6.07safer0.50–3.130.65–3.491.15–6.63
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.705.61safe1.48–4.351.14–4.252.62–8.60safer1.09–4.740.72–4.681.81–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.70 0.87–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 32% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.33–6.06 1.84–6.54 | 4.30 2.56–6.04 2.09–6.51 | 8.49 4.89–12.10 3.93–13.05 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.76 8.84–16.69 7.75–17.78 | 11.43 7.87–14.99 6.91–15.95 | 24.19 16.71–31.68 14.66–33.73 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 7.76 4.82–10.70 3.99–11.53 | 7.95 5.27–10.63 4.53–11.37 | 15.71 10.09–21.34 8.52–22.90 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 3.62 1.97–5.27 1.48–5.77 | 6.91 3.37–10.44 2.34–11.48 | 37% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.68 2.47–6.89 1.89–7.47 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.17 | 9.32 5.11–13.53 4.00–14.64 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 44.63 37.84–51.42 36.17–53.09 | 55.58 48.79–62.36 47.12–64.03 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 366 299–434 281–452 | 497 430–563 413–581 | 863 729–997 694–1032 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.69 72.67–80.72 71.37–82.02 | 82.60 78.28–86.93 76.97–88.24 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.59 9.15–16.34 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.34 | 25.39 19.61–31.17 18.10–32.68 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.24 | 3.38 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 2.07 0.95–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.63 | 35% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.72–4.68 | 5.61 2.62–8.60 1.81–9.41 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+