UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 4·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.502.70safe0.23–2.160.65–2.360.87–4.52safer0.00–2.420.42–2.580.40–5.00
Shots on target
38%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.194.628.81safe2.33–6.052.88–6.365.21–12.42safer1.84–6.542.41–6.834.25–13.37
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0612.6824.74safe8.13–15.989.12–16.2517.26–32.23safer7.04–17.088.16–17.2115.21–34.28
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.049.4617.50safe5.09–10.986.78–12.1511.88–23.12safer4.26–11.816.05–12.8810.31–24.69
Blocked shots
50%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.156.84safe1.81–5.571.49–4.803.30–10.37safer1.27–6.121.00–5.292.27–11.41
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.794.599.38safe2.58–7.002.59–6.595.16–13.59safer2.00–7.582.05–7.124.06–14.70
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.6144.82safe48.82–62.4038.03–51.60safer47.15–64.0736.36–53.27
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction514427941safe447–581360–493807–1075safer429–600343–511772–1110
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction76.6073.84safe72.57–80.6369.52–78.17safer71.28–81.9268.21–79.47
Fouls
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8413.9223.76safe7.01–12.6810.97–16.8617.98–29.54safer6.25–13.4410.22–17.6116.47–31.05
Offsides
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.123.63safe0.35–2.671.03–3.221.38–5.88safer0.04–2.970.74–3.500.79–6.47
Yellow cards
33%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.963.60safe0.59–2.690.83–3.091.42–5.78safer0.32–2.950.54–3.380.87–6.34
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
45%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.212.996.19safe1.77–4.641.43–4.543.20–9.19safer1.39–5.031.01–4.972.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.16 0.00–2.42 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.58 | 2.70 0.87–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 30% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.33–6.05 1.84–6.54 | 4.62 2.88–6.36 2.41–6.83 | 8.81 5.21–12.42 4.25–13.37 | 38% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.06 8.13–15.98 7.04–17.08 | 12.68 9.12–16.25 8.16–17.21 | 24.74 17.26–32.23 15.21–34.28 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.04 5.09–10.98 4.26–11.81 | 9.46 6.78–12.15 6.05–12.88 | 17.50 11.88–23.12 10.31–24.69 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.27–6.12 | 3.15 1.49–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 6.84 3.30–10.37 2.27–11.41 | 50% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.58–7.00 2.00–7.58 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.05–7.12 | 9.38 5.16–13.59 4.06–14.70 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 55.61 48.82–62.40 47.15–64.07 | 44.82 38.03–51.60 36.36–53.27 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 514 447–581 429–600 | 427 360–493 343–511 | 941 807–1075 772–1110 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.60 72.57–80.63 71.28–81.92 | 73.84 69.52–78.17 68.21–79.47 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 9.84 7.01–12.68 6.25–13.44 | 13.92 10.97–16.86 10.22–17.61 | 23.76 17.98–29.54 16.47–31.05 | 17% 77% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.04–2.97 | 2.12 1.03–3.22 0.74–3.50 | 3.63 1.38–5.88 0.79–6.47 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 33% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.39–5.03 | 2.99 1.43–4.54 1.01–4.97 | 6.19 3.20–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 45% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.