UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.070.902.98safe1.11–3.040.05–1.761.16–4.80safer0.85–3.290.00–1.990.68–5.28
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.443.229.66safe4.58–8.301.48–4.966.05–13.26safer4.09–8.791.01–5.435.10–14.22
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3510.2626.61safe12.42–20.276.70–13.8219.12–34.10safer11.33–21.375.74–14.7817.07–36.15
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.626.4618.09safe8.68–14.573.78–9.1512.46–23.71safer7.85–15.403.05–9.8810.90–25.28
Blocked shots
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.486.66safe2.30–6.070.82–4.133.13–10.20safer1.76–6.610.33–4.622.09–11.23
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.233.529.75safe4.02–8.441.52–5.525.53–13.96safer3.44–9.020.98–6.054.43–15.07
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.0839.46safe54.29–67.8732.67–46.24safer52.62–69.5431.00–47.92
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction593389982safe525–660323–456848–1116safer507–678305–473812–1151
Pass accuracy %
69%
26%
homeawayprediction80.4175.97safe76.38–84.4471.65–80.30safer75.09–85.7370.34–81.60
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3911.5121.91safe7.56–13.238.57–14.4616.12–27.69safer6.80–13.997.82–15.2114.62–29.19
Offsides
46%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.683.72safe0.87–3.190.59–2.771.46–5.97safer0.57–3.500.30–3.060.87–6.56
Yellow cards
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.663.02safe0.31–2.410.53–2.790.84–5.20safer0.04–2.670.24–3.080.29–5.76
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.996.18safe0.75–3.622.44–5.553.19–9.17safer0.36–4.012.01–5.982.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.07 1.11–3.04 0.85–3.29 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 64% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.44 4.58–8.30 4.09–8.79 | 3.22 1.48–4.96 1.01–5.43 | 9.66 6.05–13.26 5.10–14.22 | 81% |
| Total shots | 16.35 12.42–20.27 11.33–21.37 | 10.26 6.70–13.82 5.74–14.78 | 26.61 19.12–34.10 17.07–36.15 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.62 8.68–14.57 7.85–15.40 | 6.46 3.78–9.15 3.05–9.88 | 18.09 12.46–23.71 10.90–25.28 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.30–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 2.48 0.82–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 6.66 3.13–10.20 2.09–11.23 | 68% 19% |
| Corners | 6.23 4.02–8.44 3.44–9.02 | 3.52 1.52–5.52 0.98–6.05 | 9.75 5.53–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 61.08 54.29–67.87 52.62–69.54 | 39.46 32.67–46.24 31.00–47.92 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 593 525–660 507–678 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 982 848–1116 812–1151 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.41 76.38–84.44 75.09–85.73 | 75.97 71.65–80.30 70.34–81.60 | — | 69% 26% |
| Fouls | 10.39 7.56–13.23 6.80–13.99 | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.21 | 21.91 16.12–27.69 14.62–29.19 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.50 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.72 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 46% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.02 0.84–5.20 0.29–5.76 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 3.99 2.44–5.55 2.01–5.98 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.38–9.99 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+