UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.160.923.08safe1.19–3.130.07–1.781.26–4.91safer0.94–3.380.00–2.010.78–5.39
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.463.519.97safe4.60–8.321.77–5.266.37–13.58safer4.11–8.811.31–5.725.41–14.53
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction19.2210.3429.56safe15.29–23.146.78–13.9122.07–37.05safer14.20–24.235.82–14.8720.02–39.10
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction12.246.9119.16safe9.30–15.194.23–9.5913.53–24.78safer8.47–16.023.49–10.3311.96–26.35
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.032.557.59safe3.15–6.920.90–4.214.05–11.12safer2.61–7.460.41–4.703.02–12.16
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.963.5010.46safe4.74–9.171.50–5.506.25–14.67safer4.17–9.740.97–6.045.14–15.78
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8536.12safe57.06–70.6429.34–42.91safer55.39–72.3127.66–44.58
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction569319888safe502–637252–385754–1022safer484–655235–403719–1057
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction77.5467.12safe73.51–81.5762.79–71.44safer72.22–82.8661.48–72.75
Fouls
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1713.5523.72safe7.33–13.0110.61–16.5017.94–29.51safer6.58–13.779.86–17.2416.44–31.01
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.783.60safe0.66–2.980.68–2.871.34–5.85safer0.36–3.280.39–3.160.76–6.44
Yellow cards
28%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.043.53safe0.44–2.540.91–3.171.35–5.71safer0.17–2.800.62–3.460.79–6.26
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.574.286.85safe1.14–4.012.72–5.833.86–9.84safer0.75–4.402.30–6.263.05–10.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.16 1.19–3.13 0.94–3.38 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.46 4.60–8.32 4.11–8.81 | 3.51 1.77–5.26 1.31–5.72 | 9.97 6.37–13.58 5.41–14.53 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 19.22 15.29–23.14 14.20–24.23 | 10.34 6.78–13.91 5.82–14.87 | 29.56 22.07–37.05 20.02–39.10 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.24 9.30–15.19 8.47–16.02 | 6.91 4.23–9.59 3.49–10.33 | 19.16 13.53–24.78 11.96–26.35 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 5.03 3.15–6.92 2.61–7.46 | 2.55 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 7.59 4.05–11.12 3.02–12.16 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 6.96 4.74–9.17 4.17–9.74 | 3.50 1.50–5.50 0.97–6.04 | 10.46 6.25–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 82% |
| Possession % | 63.85 57.06–70.64 55.39–72.31 | 36.12 29.34–42.91 27.66–44.58 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 569 502–637 484–655 | 319 252–385 235–403 | 888 754–1022 719–1057 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.54 73.51–81.57 72.22–82.86 | 67.12 62.79–71.44 61.48–72.75 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.17 7.33–13.01 6.58–13.77 | 13.55 10.61–16.50 9.86–17.24 | 23.72 17.94–29.51 16.44–31.01 | 21% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.78 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.16 | 3.60 1.34–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.17–2.80 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.26 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 4.28 2.72–5.83 2.30–6.26 | 6.85 3.86–9.84 3.05–10.66 | 20% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.