UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.320.843.16safe1.35–3.290.00–1.691.34–4.98safer1.10–3.540.00–1.920.86–5.46
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.113.0610.17safe5.25–8.971.32–4.806.56–13.77safer4.76–9.460.85–5.275.61–14.73
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.398.7228.11safe15.47–23.325.16–12.2820.62–35.60safer14.37–24.414.20–13.2418.57–37.65
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.785.5718.34safe9.84–15.722.89–8.2512.72–23.97safer9.01–16.552.15–8.9811.15–25.53
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.002.317.32safe3.12–6.890.66–3.973.78–10.85safer2.58–7.430.17–4.462.75–11.89
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.123.4310.55safe4.91–9.341.43–5.436.34–14.76safer4.34–9.910.89–5.965.23–15.87
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction59.5741.42safe52.78–66.3634.63–48.20safer51.11–68.0332.96–49.88
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction567404970safe500–634337–470837–1104safer481–652320–487801–1140
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction81.8273.68safe77.79–85.8569.36–78.01safer76.50–87.1468.05–79.31
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0211.6722.69safe8.18–13.868.72–14.6116.91–28.47safer7.43–14.617.97–15.3615.40–29.97
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.833.94safe0.94–3.260.74–2.931.68–6.19safer0.64–3.560.45–3.221.09–6.78
Yellow cards
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.823.03safe0.17–2.270.69–2.940.85–5.21safer0.00–2.530.40–3.240.30–5.77
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.074.666.73safe0.64–3.513.10–6.213.74–9.72safer0.25–3.902.68–6.642.93–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.32 1.35–3.29 1.10–3.54 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 71% 18% |
| Shots on target | 7.11 5.25–8.97 4.76–9.46 | 3.06 1.32–4.80 0.85–5.27 | 10.17 6.56–13.77 5.61–14.73 | 87% |
| Total shots | 19.39 15.47–23.32 14.37–24.41 | 8.72 5.16–12.28 4.20–13.24 | 28.11 20.62–35.60 18.57–37.65 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.78 9.84–15.72 9.01–16.55 | 5.57 2.89–8.25 2.15–8.98 | 18.34 12.72–23.97 11.15–25.53 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.00 3.12–6.89 2.58–7.43 | 2.31 0.66–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 7.32 3.78–10.85 2.75–11.89 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.12 4.91–9.34 4.34–9.91 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.89–5.96 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 84% |
| Possession % | 59.57 52.78–66.36 51.11–68.03 | 41.42 34.63–48.20 32.96–49.88 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 567 500–634 481–652 | 404 337–470 320–487 | 970 837–1104 801–1140 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.82 77.79–85.85 76.50–87.14 | 73.68 69.36–78.01 68.05–79.31 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 11.02 8.18–13.86 7.43–14.61 | 11.67 8.72–14.61 7.97–15.36 | 22.69 16.91–28.47 15.40–29.97 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.83 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.22 | 3.94 1.68–6.19 1.09–6.78 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.27 0.00–2.53 | 1.82 0.69–2.94 0.40–3.24 | 3.03 0.85–5.21 0.30–5.77 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.64–3.51 0.25–3.90 | 4.66 3.10–6.21 2.68–6.64 | 6.73 3.74–9.72 2.93–10.53 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.