UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.292.87safe0.61–2.550.44–2.141.05–4.69safer0.36–2.800.21–2.370.57–5.17
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.313.959.27safe3.45–7.182.21–5.705.66–12.87safer2.96–7.671.75–6.164.71–13.83
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8210.6525.47safe10.90–18.757.08–14.2117.98–32.96safer9.81–19.846.12–15.1715.93–35.01
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.926.9516.87safe6.98–12.864.27–9.6311.25–22.50safer6.15–13.693.53–10.379.68–24.06
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.046.81safe1.89–5.651.39–4.693.27–10.34safer1.34–6.200.89–5.182.24–11.38
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.243.829.06safe3.03–7.461.82–5.824.85–13.27safer2.46–8.031.28–6.353.74–14.38
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.6049.58safe43.81–57.3942.80–56.37safer42.14–59.0641.13–58.04
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction483465949safe416–551399–532815–1082safer398–569381–549779–1118
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction77.5178.26safe73.48–81.5473.93–82.58safer72.19–82.8372.62–83.89
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0912.5725.65safe10.25–15.929.62–15.5119.87–31.44safer9.49–16.688.87–16.2618.37–32.94
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.683.83safe0.99–3.310.58–2.771.58–6.08safer0.69–3.610.30–3.060.99–6.67
Yellow cards
38%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.354.55safe1.15–3.251.23–3.482.37–6.73safer0.88–3.510.93–3.771.81–7.29
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.416.13safe1.28–4.151.86–4.973.14–9.12safer0.89–4.541.43–5.402.33–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.29 0.44–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.31 3.45–7.18 2.96–7.67 | 3.95 2.21–5.70 1.75–6.16 | 9.27 5.66–12.87 4.71–13.83 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.82 10.90–18.75 9.81–19.84 | 10.65 7.08–14.21 6.12–15.17 | 25.47 17.98–32.96 15.93–35.01 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.92 6.98–12.86 6.15–13.69 | 6.95 4.27–9.63 3.53–10.37 | 16.87 11.25–22.50 9.68–24.06 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.65 1.34–6.20 | 3.04 1.39–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.46 2.46–8.03 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.28–6.35 | 9.06 4.85–13.27 3.74–14.38 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 50.60 43.81–57.39 42.14–59.06 | 49.58 42.80–56.37 41.13–58.04 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 483 416–551 398–569 | 465 399–532 381–549 | 949 815–1082 779–1118 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.51 73.48–81.54 72.19–82.83 | 78.26 73.93–82.58 72.62–83.89 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 13.09 10.25–15.92 9.49–16.68 | 12.57 9.62–15.51 8.87–16.26 | 25.65 19.87–31.44 18.37–32.94 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.68 0.58–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.83 1.58–6.08 0.99–6.67 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.88–3.51 | 2.35 1.23–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.55 2.37–6.73 1.81–7.29 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.40 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.33–9.93 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.