UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.203.09safe0.92–2.850.35–2.061.27–4.91safer0.67–3.100.12–2.290.79–5.39
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.279.82safe3.68–7.412.53–6.026.22–13.43safer3.19–7.902.07–6.485.26–14.38
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1512.3228.47safe12.22–20.078.76–15.8820.98–35.95safer11.13–21.167.80–16.8418.93–38.01
Shots in box
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.077.4418.51safe8.12–14.014.76–10.1212.88–24.13safer7.29–14.844.02–10.8611.32–25.70
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.437.40safe2.09–5.851.78–5.093.87–10.94safer1.55–6.401.29–5.582.83–11.98
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.4210.50safe3.87–8.292.42–6.426.29–14.72safer3.29–8.871.89–6.965.18–15.82
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.4749.74safe43.68–57.2642.95–56.52safer42.01–58.9341.28–58.19
Passes
50%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction474473947safe407–541406–539813–1081safer389–560389–557777–1116
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction76.2878.33safe72.25–80.3174.00–82.65safer70.96–81.6072.69–83.96
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3313.2723.60safe7.49–13.1710.33–16.2217.82–29.39safer6.74–13.939.58–16.9716.32–30.89
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.373.34safe0.81–3.130.28–2.471.09–5.60safer0.51–3.430.00–2.750.50–6.19
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.113.83safe0.68–2.780.98–3.231.66–6.01safer0.41–3.050.68–3.531.10–6.57
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.576.53safe1.53–4.402.01–5.123.54–9.53safer1.14–4.791.59–5.552.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.92–2.85 0.67–3.10 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 53% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.68–7.41 3.19–7.90 | 4.27 2.53–6.02 2.07–6.48 | 9.82 6.22–13.43 5.26–14.38 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.15 12.22–20.07 11.13–21.16 | 12.32 8.76–15.88 7.80–16.84 | 28.47 20.98–35.95 18.93–38.01 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 11.07 8.12–14.01 7.29–14.84 | 7.44 4.76–10.12 4.02–10.86 | 18.51 12.88–24.13 11.32–25.70 | 77% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.85 1.55–6.40 | 3.43 1.78–5.09 1.29–5.58 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.98 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 6.08 3.87–8.29 3.29–8.87 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.96 | 10.50 6.29–14.72 5.18–15.82 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 50.47 43.68–57.26 42.01–58.93 | 49.74 42.95–56.52 41.28–58.19 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 474 407–541 389–560 | 473 406–539 389–557 | 947 813–1081 777–1116 | 50% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.28 72.25–80.31 70.96–81.60 | 78.33 74.00–82.65 72.69–83.96 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 10.33 7.49–13.17 6.74–13.93 | 13.27 10.33–16.22 9.58–16.97 | 23.60 17.82–29.39 16.32–30.89 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.75 | 3.34 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.05 | 2.11 0.98–3.23 0.68–3.53 | 3.83 1.66–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.57 2.01–5.12 1.59–5.55 | 6.53 3.54–9.53 2.73–10.34 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+