UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 4·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.420.903.32safe1.45–3.390.04–1.751.49–5.14safer1.20–3.640.00–1.981.02–5.62
Shots on target
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.393.6110.00safe4.53–8.261.87–5.356.40–13.61safer4.04–8.751.40–5.825.44–14.56
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.229.3126.53safe13.29–21.145.74–12.8719.04–34.01safer12.20–22.234.79–13.8316.99–36.06
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.655.8018.45safe9.71–15.593.12–8.4812.83–24.07safer8.88–16.422.38–9.2211.26–25.64
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.536.86safe2.45–6.220.87–4.183.33–10.40safer1.91–6.760.38–4.672.29–11.43
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.553.4510.00safe4.34–8.771.45–5.455.79–14.21safer3.76–9.340.92–5.984.68–15.32
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.6944.94safe48.90–62.4838.16–51.73safer47.23–64.1536.49–53.40
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction543421964safe476–610354–487830–1098safer458–629337–505795–1133
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction80.2677.92safe76.23–84.2973.59–82.24safer74.94–85.5872.29–83.55
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0512.0524.10safe9.21–14.899.10–14.9918.32–29.88safer8.46–15.648.35–15.7416.81–31.38
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.253.40safe0.99–3.310.16–2.341.15–5.66safer0.69–3.610.00–2.630.56–6.25
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.003.81safe0.76–2.860.87–3.131.63–5.99safer0.49–3.120.58–3.421.07–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
21%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.986.41safe1.00–3.872.42–5.543.42–9.41safer0.61–4.262.00–5.962.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.42 1.45–3.39 1.20–3.64 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.32 1.49–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.39 4.53–8.26 4.04–8.75 | 3.61 1.87–5.35 1.40–5.82 | 10.00 6.40–13.61 5.44–14.56 | 77% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.22 13.29–21.14 12.20–22.23 | 9.31 5.74–12.87 4.79–13.83 | 26.53 19.04–34.01 16.99–36.06 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.65 9.71–15.59 8.88–16.42 | 5.80 3.12–8.48 2.38–9.22 | 18.45 12.83–24.07 11.26–25.64 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 2.53 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 6.86 3.33–10.40 2.29–11.43 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.55 4.34–8.77 3.76–9.34 | 3.45 1.45–5.45 0.92–5.98 | 10.00 5.79–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 80% |
| Possession % | 55.69 48.90–62.48 47.23–64.15 | 44.94 38.16–51.73 36.49–53.40 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 543 476–610 458–629 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 964 830–1098 795–1133 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.26 76.23–84.29 74.94–85.58 | 77.92 73.59–82.24 72.29–83.55 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.05 9.21–14.89 8.46–15.64 | 12.05 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.74 | 24.10 18.32–29.88 16.81–31.38 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.25 0.16–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 3.40 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.07–6.55 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.98 2.42–5.54 2.00–5.96 | 6.41 3.42–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 21% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+