Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.590.833.41safe1.62–3.550.00–1.681.59–5.24safer1.37–3.810.00–1.911.11–5.72
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.282.8710.14safe5.41–9.141.13–4.616.54–13.75safer4.92–9.630.66–5.085.58–14.71
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.668.5527.21safe14.73–22.584.99–12.1219.72–34.70safer13.64–23.674.03–13.0817.67–36.75
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.575.3418.91safe10.62–16.512.66–8.0213.29–24.53safer9.80–17.341.92–8.7611.72–26.10
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.952.327.28safe3.07–6.830.67–3.983.74–10.81safer2.53–7.380.18–4.472.70–11.85
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.053.0010.05safe4.84–9.261.00–5.005.84–14.27safer4.26–9.840.47–5.534.73–15.37
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.9242.00safe51.13–64.7135.21–48.78safer49.46–66.3833.54–50.45
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction565415980safe498–632349–482847–1114safer480–651331–499811–1150
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction79.0072.64safe74.97–83.0368.32–76.97safer73.68–84.3267.01–78.28
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3912.4624.86safe9.55–15.239.52–15.4119.07–30.64safer8.80–15.988.77–16.1617.57–32.14
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.333.40safe0.91–3.230.23–2.421.14–5.65safer0.61–3.530.00–2.710.55–6.24
Yellow cards
26%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.434.11safe0.63–2.731.30–3.561.93–6.29safer0.37–3.001.01–3.851.38–6.85
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.084.616.69safe0.65–3.523.05–6.173.70–9.68safer0.26–3.912.63–6.592.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.59 1.62–3.55 1.37–3.81 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.41 1.59–5.24 1.11–5.72 | 75% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.28 5.41–9.14 4.92–9.63 | 2.87 1.13–4.61 0.66–5.08 | 10.14 6.54–13.75 5.58–14.71 | 89% |
| Total shots | 18.66 14.73–22.58 13.64–23.67 | 8.55 4.99–12.12 4.03–13.08 | 27.21 19.72–34.70 17.67–36.75 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.57 10.62–16.51 9.80–17.34 | 5.34 2.66–8.02 1.92–8.76 | 18.91 13.29–24.53 11.72–26.10 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.95 3.07–6.83 2.53–7.38 | 2.32 0.67–3.98 0.18–4.47 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.70–11.85 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.05 4.84–9.26 4.26–9.84 | 3.00 1.00–5.00 0.47–5.53 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.37 | 87% |
| Possession % | 57.92 51.13–64.71 49.46–66.38 | 42.00 35.21–48.78 33.54–50.45 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 565 498–632 480–651 | 415 349–482 331–499 | 980 847–1114 811–1150 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.00 74.97–83.03 73.68–84.32 | 72.64 68.32–76.97 67.01–78.28 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.55–15.23 8.80–15.98 | 12.46 9.52–15.41 8.77–16.16 | 24.86 19.07–30.64 17.57–32.14 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.33 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.11 1.93–6.29 1.38–6.85 | 26% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 4.61 3.05–6.17 2.63–6.59 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.89–10.50 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+