UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.650.753.40safe1.69–3.620.00–1.601.58–5.23safer1.43–3.870.00–1.831.10–5.71
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.572.7510.32safe5.71–9.431.01–4.496.72–13.93safer5.22–9.920.54–4.965.76–14.88
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.837.5127.34safe15.90–23.753.95–11.0719.85–34.83safer14.81–24.852.99–12.0317.80–36.88
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.004.4217.41safe10.05–15.941.74–7.1011.79–23.04safer9.22–16.771.00–7.8410.22–24.60
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.192.147.33safe3.30–7.070.49–3.793.79–10.86safer2.76–7.610.00–4.282.76–11.90
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.673.1410.81safe5.46–9.891.14–5.146.60–15.03safer4.89–10.460.61–5.675.49–16.13
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.8240.91safe54.03–67.6234.13–47.70safer52.36–69.2832.45–49.37
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction562392954safe495–629325–458820–1087safer477–647308–476784–1123
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction84.8374.21safe80.80–88.8669.89–78.54safer79.51–90.1568.58–79.85
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4512.8624.31safe8.62–14.299.91–15.8018.53–30.09safer7.86–15.059.16–16.5517.02–31.60
Offsides
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.874.11safe1.08–3.400.78–2.971.86–6.37safer0.78–3.700.49–3.261.27–6.96
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.223.50safe0.24–2.341.09–3.341.32–5.68safer0.00–2.600.80–3.640.77–6.24
Red cards
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.160.22safe0.00–0.230.00–0.340.00–0.57safer0.00–0.380.00–0.480.00–0.85
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.994.566.55safe0.56–3.433.00–6.113.56–9.54safer0.17–3.822.57–6.542.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.65 1.69–3.62 1.43–3.87 | 0.75 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 3.40 1.58–5.23 1.10–5.71 | 78% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.57 5.71–9.43 5.22–9.92 | 2.75 1.01–4.49 0.54–4.96 | 10.32 6.72–13.93 5.76–14.88 | 92% |
| Total shots | 19.83 15.90–23.75 14.81–24.85 | 7.51 3.95–11.07 2.99–12.03 | 27.34 19.85–34.83 17.80–36.88 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.00 10.05–15.94 9.22–16.77 | 4.42 1.74–7.10 1.00–7.84 | 17.41 11.79–23.04 10.22–24.60 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.19 3.30–7.07 2.76–7.61 | 2.14 0.49–3.79 0.00–4.28 | 7.33 3.79–10.86 2.76–11.90 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.67 5.46–9.89 4.89–10.46 | 3.14 1.14–5.14 0.61–5.67 | 10.81 6.60–15.03 5.49–16.13 | 89% |
| Possession % | 60.82 54.03–67.62 52.36–69.28 | 40.91 34.13–47.70 32.45–49.37 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 562 495–629 477–647 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 954 820–1087 784–1123 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.83 80.80–88.86 79.51–90.15 | 74.21 69.89–78.54 68.58–79.85 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.62–14.29 7.86–15.05 | 12.86 9.91–15.80 9.16–16.55 | 24.31 18.53–30.09 17.02–31.60 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 1.87 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.26 | 4.11 1.86–6.37 1.27–6.96 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.60 | 2.22 1.09–3.34 0.80–3.64 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% 14% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 4.56 3.00–6.11 2.57–6.54 | 6.55 3.56–9.54 2.74–10.35 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.