UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.253.10safe0.88–2.820.40–2.101.28–4.92safer0.63–3.070.17–2.330.80–5.40
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.693.859.54safe3.83–7.552.11–5.605.94–13.15safer3.34–8.041.65–6.064.98–14.11
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6111.0427.65safe12.69–20.547.48–14.6020.17–35.14safer11.60–21.636.52–15.5618.12–37.19
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.856.8817.74safe7.91–13.804.20–9.5612.11–23.36safer7.08–14.633.46–10.3010.55–24.93
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.842.777.61safe2.96–6.721.12–4.434.08–11.15safer2.41–7.260.63–4.923.04–12.18
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.213.559.76safe3.99–8.421.55–5.555.54–13.97safer3.42–8.991.02–6.084.44–15.08
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.8239.63safe54.03–67.6132.85–46.42safer52.36–69.2831.18–48.09
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction559342901safe491–626275–408767–1034safer473–644258–426731–1070
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction78.0568.27safe74.02–82.0863.95–72.60safer72.73–83.3862.64–73.91
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8014.0524.85safe7.96–13.6411.11–17.0019.07–30.63safer7.21–14.3910.36–17.7417.56–32.14
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.953.57safe0.46–2.780.86–3.051.32–5.82safer0.16–3.080.57–3.330.73–6.41
Yellow cards
24%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.584.26safe0.63–2.731.45–3.702.08–6.43safer0.37–3.001.16–4.001.52–6.99
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.150.24safe0.00–0.250.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.400.00–0.470.00–0.87
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.756.38safe1.20–4.072.19–5.303.39–9.38safer0.81–4.461.76–5.732.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.82 0.63–3.07 | 1.25 0.40–2.10 0.17–2.33 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.69 3.83–7.55 3.34–8.04 | 3.85 2.11–5.60 1.65–6.06 | 9.54 5.94–13.15 4.98–14.11 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.61 12.69–20.54 11.60–21.63 | 11.04 7.48–14.60 6.52–15.56 | 27.65 20.17–35.14 18.12–37.19 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.85 7.91–13.80 7.08–14.63 | 6.88 4.20–9.56 3.46–10.30 | 17.74 12.11–23.36 10.55–24.93 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.84 2.96–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 2.77 1.12–4.43 0.63–4.92 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.21 3.99–8.42 3.42–8.99 | 3.55 1.55–5.55 1.02–6.08 | 9.76 5.54–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 60.82 54.03–67.61 52.36–69.28 | 39.63 32.85–46.42 31.18–48.09 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 559 491–626 473–644 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 901 767–1034 731–1070 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.05 74.02–82.08 72.73–83.38 | 68.27 63.95–72.60 62.64–73.91 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.80 7.96–13.64 7.21–14.39 | 14.05 11.11–17.00 10.36–17.74 | 24.85 19.07–30.63 17.56–32.14 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.95 0.86–3.05 0.57–3.33 | 3.57 1.32–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.58 1.45–3.70 1.16–4.00 | 4.26 2.08–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 24% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.75 2.19–5.30 1.76–5.73 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.