UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.780.962.75safe0.82–2.750.11–1.820.93–4.57safer0.57–3.000.00–2.050.45–5.05
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.753.619.36safe3.89–7.611.87–5.365.76–12.97safer3.40–8.101.41–5.824.80–13.92
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0211.2028.21safe13.09–20.947.64–14.7620.73–35.70safer12.00–22.036.68–15.7218.68–37.75
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.606.6717.27safe7.66–13.553.99–9.3511.65–22.90safer6.83–14.383.25–10.0910.08–24.46
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.302.997.29safe2.42–6.191.34–4.643.76–10.83safer1.88–6.730.85–5.142.72–11.87
Corners
67%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.974.1010.07safe3.76–8.192.10–6.105.86–14.29safer3.19–8.761.57–6.634.75–15.39
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.7144.92safe48.92–62.5038.13–51.70safer47.25–64.1736.46–53.37
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction471369839safe403–538302–435705–973safer385–556285–453670–1009
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction69.3468.19safe65.31–73.3663.87–72.51safer64.01–74.6662.56–73.82
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5213.8324.35safe7.68–13.3510.89–16.7818.57–30.13safer6.92–14.1110.14–17.5317.06–31.64
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.533.41safe0.72–3.040.44–2.621.16–5.66safer0.42–3.340.15–2.910.57–6.25
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.524.28safe0.70–2.801.39–3.652.10–6.45safer0.44–3.071.10–3.941.54–7.01
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.776.40safe1.19–4.062.22–5.333.41–9.39safer0.80–4.451.79–5.762.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.00 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 57% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.75 3.89–7.61 3.40–8.10 | 3.61 1.87–5.36 1.41–5.82 | 9.36 5.76–12.97 4.80–13.92 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.02 13.09–20.94 12.00–22.03 | 11.20 7.64–14.76 6.68–15.72 | 28.21 20.73–35.70 18.68–37.75 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.60 7.66–13.55 6.83–14.38 | 6.67 3.99–9.35 3.25–10.09 | 17.27 11.65–22.90 10.08–24.46 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.19 1.88–6.73 | 2.99 1.34–4.64 0.85–5.14 | 7.29 3.76–10.83 2.72–11.87 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.19 3.19–8.76 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.63 | 10.07 5.86–14.29 4.75–15.39 | 67% 23% |
| Possession % | 55.71 48.92–62.50 47.25–64.17 | 44.92 38.13–51.70 36.46–53.37 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 471 403–538 385–556 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 839 705–973 670–1009 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.34 65.31–73.36 64.01–74.66 | 68.19 63.87–72.51 62.56–73.82 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 13.83 10.89–16.78 10.14–17.53 | 24.35 18.57–30.13 17.06–31.64 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.41 1.16–5.66 0.57–6.25 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.28 2.10–6.45 1.54–7.01 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.77 2.22–5.33 1.79–5.76 | 6.40 3.41–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+