UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.950.922.87safe0.98–2.910.07–1.781.04–4.69safer0.73–3.160.00–2.000.57–5.17
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.543.168.71safe3.68–7.411.42–4.905.10–12.31safer3.19–7.900.95–5.374.15–13.27
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.229.0225.24safe12.29–20.145.45–12.5817.75–32.72safer11.20–21.244.50–13.5415.70–34.77
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.655.4416.09safe7.70–13.592.76–8.1210.46–21.71safer6.87–14.422.02–8.868.90–23.28
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.142.796.93safe2.25–6.021.14–4.443.39–10.46safer1.71–6.560.65–4.942.36–11.50
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.489.73safe4.04–8.471.48–5.485.51–13.94safer3.46–9.040.94–6.014.41–15.05
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.9844.80safe50.19–63.7738.02–51.59safer48.52–65.4436.35–53.26
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction520411931safe453–588344–477798–1065safer435–606327–495762–1101
Pass accuracy %
51%
43%
homeawayprediction73.8073.01safe69.77–77.8368.69–77.34safer68.48–79.1267.38–78.65
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7612.3223.09safe7.93–13.609.38–15.2717.30–28.87safer7.17–14.368.63–16.0215.80–30.37
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.333.48safe0.99–3.310.23–2.421.22–5.73safer0.69–3.610.00–2.710.63–6.32
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.243.96safe0.66–2.761.12–3.371.78–6.13safer0.40–3.030.82–3.661.22–6.69
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.685.97safe0.86–3.732.12–5.242.98–8.96safer0.47–4.121.70–5.662.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.98–2.91 0.73–3.16 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.00 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 61% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.68–7.41 3.19–7.90 | 3.16 1.42–4.90 0.95–5.37 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.22 12.29–20.14 11.20–21.24 | 9.02 5.45–12.58 4.50–13.54 | 25.24 17.75–32.72 15.70–34.77 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.65 7.70–13.59 6.87–14.42 | 5.44 2.76–8.12 2.02–8.86 | 16.09 10.46–21.71 8.90–23.28 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.25–6.02 1.71–6.56 | 2.79 1.14–4.44 0.65–4.94 | 6.93 3.39–10.46 2.36–11.50 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.04–8.47 3.46–9.04 | 3.48 1.48–5.48 0.94–6.01 | 9.73 5.51–13.94 4.41–15.05 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 56.98 50.19–63.77 48.52–65.44 | 44.80 38.02–51.59 36.35–53.26 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 520 453–588 435–606 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 931 798–1065 762–1101 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.80 69.77–77.83 68.48–79.12 | 73.01 68.69–77.34 67.38–78.65 | — | 51% 43% |
| Fouls | 10.76 7.93–13.60 7.17–14.36 | 12.32 9.38–15.27 8.63–16.02 | 23.09 17.30–28.87 15.80–30.37 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.33 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.48 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 2.24 1.12–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.96 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.68 2.12–5.24 1.70–5.66 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.