UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.172.53safe0.39–2.330.31–2.020.71–4.35safer0.14–2.580.08–2.250.23–4.83
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.883.838.70safe3.01–6.742.08–5.575.10–12.31safer2.52–7.231.62–6.034.14–13.26
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction13.999.9223.91safe10.07–17.926.36–13.4816.42–31.40safer8.97–19.015.40–14.4414.37–33.45
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction8.716.7015.41safe5.76–11.654.02–9.389.78–21.03safer4.93–12.483.28–10.128.22–22.60
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.656.64safe2.11–5.881.00–4.303.11–10.18safer1.57–6.420.50–4.792.07–11.21
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.084.019.10safe2.87–7.302.01–6.014.88–13.31safer2.30–7.871.48–6.543.77–14.42
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction57.2944.85safe50.50–64.0838.06–51.63safer48.83–65.7536.39–53.30
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction516400915safe448–583333–466782–1049safer430–601316–484746–1085
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction85.1379.64safe81.10–89.1675.31–83.96safer79.80–90.4574.00–85.27
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3612.8825.23safe9.52–15.199.93–15.8219.45–31.02safer8.76–15.959.18–16.5717.95–32.52
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.343.13safe0.63–2.950.25–2.430.87–5.38safer0.33–3.250.00–2.720.29–5.97
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.334.39safe1.01–3.111.20–3.462.21–6.57safer0.74–3.380.91–3.751.65–7.12
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
32%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.195.77safe1.14–4.011.64–4.752.77–8.76safer0.75–4.401.21–5.171.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.01–6.74 2.52–7.23 | 3.83 2.08–5.57 1.62–6.03 | 8.70 5.10–12.31 4.14–13.26 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.99 10.07–17.92 8.97–19.01 | 9.92 6.36–13.48 5.40–14.44 | 23.91 16.42–31.40 14.37–33.45 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 8.71 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 6.70 4.02–9.38 3.28–10.12 | 15.41 9.78–21.03 8.22–22.60 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.88 1.57–6.42 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 6.64 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.21 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.30 2.30–7.87 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.48–6.54 | 9.10 4.88–13.31 3.77–14.42 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 57.29 50.50–64.08 48.83–65.75 | 44.85 38.06–51.63 36.39–53.30 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 516 448–583 430–601 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 915 782–1049 746–1085 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.13 81.10–89.16 79.80–90.45 | 79.64 75.31–83.96 74.00–85.27 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 12.36 9.52–15.19 8.76–15.95 | 12.88 9.93–15.82 9.18–16.57 | 25.23 19.45–31.02 17.95–32.52 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.29–5.97 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.38 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.39 2.21–6.57 1.65–7.12 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.19 1.64–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 5.77 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 32% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.