UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
25%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.612.63safe0.05–1.990.75–2.460.80–4.45safer0.00–2.240.52–2.690.32–4.93
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.804.858.65safe1.94–5.673.10–6.595.04–12.25safer1.45–6.162.64–7.064.09–13.21
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3013.5524.85safe7.38–15.239.98–17.1117.36–32.34safer6.29–16.329.03–18.0715.31–34.39
Shots in box
26%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction7.099.1216.21safe4.15–10.036.44–11.8010.59–21.84safer3.32–10.865.71–12.549.02–23.40
Blocked shots
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.044.197.23safe1.16–4.922.53–5.843.69–10.76safer0.61–5.472.04–6.332.65–11.80
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.015.459.47safe1.80–6.223.45–7.455.25–13.68safer1.22–6.802.92–7.994.14–14.79
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction49.1052.37safe42.31–55.8945.59–59.16safer40.64–57.5643.92–60.83
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction437446883safe370–504380–513750–1017safer352–522362–530714–1053
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction75.8677.28safe71.83–79.8972.96–81.61safer70.53–81.1871.65–82.92
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0514.0825.13safe8.21–13.8911.13–17.0219.34–30.91safer7.46–14.6410.38–17.7717.84–32.41
Offsides
64%
17%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.631.394.02safe1.47–3.790.29–2.481.76–6.27safer1.17–4.090.00–2.771.17–6.86
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.264.36safe1.06–3.151.13–3.392.18–6.54safer0.79–3.420.84–3.681.63–7.10
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.635.96safe1.89–4.761.07–4.192.96–8.95safer1.50–5.150.65–4.612.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.61 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 24% 25% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.80 1.94–5.67 1.45–6.16 | 4.85 3.10–6.59 2.64–7.06 | 8.65 5.04–12.25 4.09–13.21 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.30 7.38–15.23 6.29–16.32 | 13.55 9.98–17.11 9.03–18.07 | 24.85 17.36–32.34 15.31–34.39 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.09 4.15–10.03 3.32–10.86 | 9.12 6.44–11.80 5.71–12.54 | 16.21 10.59–21.84 9.02–23.40 | 26% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.04 1.16–4.92 0.61–5.47 | 4.19 2.53–5.84 2.04–6.33 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.80 | 27% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.01 1.80–6.22 1.22–6.80 | 5.45 3.45–7.45 2.92–7.99 | 9.47 5.25–13.68 4.14–14.79 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 49.10 42.31–55.89 40.64–57.56 | 52.37 45.59–59.16 43.92–60.83 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 437 370–504 352–522 | 446 380–513 362–530 | 883 750–1017 714–1053 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.86 71.83–79.89 70.53–81.18 | 77.28 72.96–81.61 71.65–82.92 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.21–13.89 7.46–14.64 | 14.08 11.13–17.02 10.38–17.77 | 25.13 19.34–30.91 17.84–32.41 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 2.63 1.47–3.79 1.17–4.09 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 4.02 1.76–6.27 1.17–6.86 | 64% 17% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.06–3.15 0.79–3.42 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 4.36 2.18–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.63 1.07–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 5.96 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.