UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
24%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.961.692.65safe0.00–1.930.84–2.550.83–4.47safer0.00–2.180.61–2.780.35–4.95
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.535.338.86safe1.66–5.393.59–7.075.25–12.46safer1.17–5.883.12–7.544.30–13.42
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0414.4125.45safe7.11–14.9610.85–17.9717.96–32.93safer6.02–16.059.89–18.9315.91–34.98
Shots in box
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.199.7015.88safe3.24–9.137.02–12.3810.26–21.51safer2.41–9.966.28–13.118.69–23.07
Blocked shots
30%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.977.05safe1.20–4.972.31–5.623.51–10.58safer0.66–5.511.82–6.112.48–11.62
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.765.008.76safe1.55–5.983.00–7.004.55–12.98safer0.98–6.552.47–7.533.44–14.08
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction47.0154.59safe40.22–53.8047.80–61.37safer38.55–55.4746.13–63.04
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction445523968safe378–513456–589834–1102safer360–531439–607799–1137
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction70.5477.20safe66.51–74.5772.87–81.52safer65.21–75.8671.56–82.83
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9812.4223.39safe8.14–13.819.47–15.3617.61–29.17safer7.38–14.578.72–16.1116.10–30.68
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.523.08safe0.41–2.730.42–2.610.83–5.34safer0.10–3.030.14–2.900.24–5.93
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.974.08safe1.07–3.160.84–3.101.91–6.26safer0.80–3.430.55–3.391.35–6.82
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.465.97safe2.07–4.950.90–4.022.98–8.96safer1.69–5.330.48–4.442.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 1.69 0.84–2.55 0.61–2.78 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 21% 24% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.53 1.66–5.39 1.17–5.88 | 5.33 3.59–7.07 3.12–7.54 | 8.86 5.25–12.46 4.30–13.42 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 11.04 7.11–14.96 6.02–16.05 | 14.41 10.85–17.97 9.89–18.93 | 25.45 17.96–32.93 15.91–34.98 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 6.19 3.24–9.13 2.41–9.96 | 9.70 7.02–12.38 6.28–13.11 | 15.88 10.26–21.51 8.69–23.07 | 16% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.08 1.20–4.97 0.66–5.51 | 3.97 2.31–5.62 1.82–6.11 | 7.05 3.51–10.58 2.48–11.62 | 30% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 3.76 1.55–5.98 0.98–6.55 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.53 | 8.76 4.55–12.98 3.44–14.08 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 47.01 40.22–53.80 38.55–55.47 | 54.59 47.80–61.37 46.13–63.04 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 445 378–513 360–531 | 523 456–589 439–607 | 968 834–1102 799–1137 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.54 66.51–74.57 65.21–75.86 | 77.20 72.87–81.52 71.56–82.83 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.81 7.38–14.57 | 12.42 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.11 | 23.39 17.61–29.17 16.10–30.68 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.10–3.03 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.08 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 4.08 1.91–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.07–4.95 1.69–5.33 | 2.46 0.90–4.02 0.48–4.44 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.