UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
27%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.332.51safe0.21–2.150.47–2.180.68–4.33safer0.00–2.400.25–2.410.21–4.81
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.094.368.45safe2.23–5.952.62–6.104.85–12.06safer1.74–6.442.15–6.573.89–13.01
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3312.9525.27safe8.40–16.259.39–16.5117.79–32.76safer7.31–17.348.43–17.4715.74–34.81
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.248.3715.61safe4.30–10.185.69–11.059.98–21.23safer3.47–11.014.95–11.798.42–22.80
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.797.34safe1.67–5.432.13–5.443.80–10.87safer1.12–5.981.64–5.932.77–11.91
Corners
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.794.319.10safe2.58–7.002.31–6.314.88–13.31safer2.00–7.581.77–6.843.78–14.42
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.5849.48safe44.79–58.3742.69–56.26safer43.12–60.0441.02–57.93
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction485452937safe418–553385–518804–1071safer400–571368–536768–1107
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction68.2672.63safe64.23–72.2968.31–76.95safer62.94–73.5867.00–78.26
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1812.0124.19safe9.35–15.029.07–14.9618.41–29.98safer8.59–15.788.32–15.7016.91–31.48
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.353.11safe0.60–2.920.26–2.450.86–5.37safer0.30–3.220.00–2.740.27–5.96
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.224.22safe0.96–3.061.09–3.342.05–6.40safer0.69–3.320.80–3.641.49–6.96
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.042.625.66safe1.60–4.471.06–4.182.66–8.65safer1.21–4.860.64–4.601.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 2.51 0.68–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 33% 27% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.09 2.23–5.95 1.74–6.44 | 4.36 2.62–6.10 2.15–6.57 | 8.45 4.85–12.06 3.89–13.01 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.33 8.40–16.25 7.31–17.34 | 12.95 9.39–16.51 8.43–17.47 | 25.27 17.79–32.76 15.74–34.81 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.24 4.30–10.18 3.47–11.01 | 8.37 5.69–11.05 4.95–11.79 | 15.61 9.98–21.23 8.42–22.80 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.43 1.12–5.98 | 3.79 2.13–5.44 1.64–5.93 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.77–11.91 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.58–7.00 2.00–7.58 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.77–6.84 | 9.10 4.88–13.31 3.78–14.42 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Possession % | 51.58 44.79–58.37 43.12–60.04 | 49.48 42.69–56.26 41.02–57.93 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 485 418–553 400–571 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 937 804–1071 768–1107 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.26 64.23–72.29 62.94–73.58 | 72.63 68.31–76.95 67.00–78.26 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.18 9.35–15.02 8.59–15.78 | 12.01 9.07–14.96 8.32–15.70 | 24.19 18.41–29.98 16.91–31.48 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.11 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 2.22 1.09–3.34 0.80–3.64 | 4.22 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.60–4.47 1.21–4.86 | 2.62 1.06–4.18 0.64–4.60 | 5.66 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.