Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.472.88safe0.44–2.380.61–2.321.05–4.70safer0.19–2.630.38–2.550.57–5.18
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.635.129.75safe2.77–6.493.38–6.866.14–13.35safer2.28–6.982.91–7.335.19–14.31
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9113.3725.28safe7.99–15.849.80–16.9317.79–32.77safer6.90–16.938.84–17.8915.74–34.82
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.238.7416.97safe5.29–11.176.06–11.4211.35–22.60safer4.46–12.005.32–12.169.78–24.16
Blocked shots
31%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.997.16safe1.29–5.052.33–5.643.62–10.69safer0.74–5.601.84–6.132.59–11.73
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.499.36safe2.65–7.082.49–6.495.14–13.57safer2.08–7.651.96–7.024.04–14.68
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.4254.90safe39.63–53.2148.11–61.68safer37.96–54.8846.44–63.35
Passes
29%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction465530995safe398–532464–597862–1129safer380–550446–614826–1165
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction73.6879.31safe69.65–77.7174.99–83.63safer68.36–79.0073.68–84.94
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2010.8324.03safe10.36–16.047.89–13.7718.25–29.81safer9.60–16.797.14–14.5216.74–31.31
Offsides
52%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.533.67safe0.98–3.300.44–2.631.42–5.92safer0.68–3.600.15–2.910.83–6.51
Yellow cards
46%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.994.27safe1.23–3.330.86–3.112.09–6.45safer0.97–3.600.57–3.411.53–7.00
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.056.55safe2.07–4.941.49–4.603.56–9.54safer1.68–5.331.07–5.032.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.77–6.49 2.28–6.98 | 5.12 3.38–6.86 2.91–7.33 | 9.75 6.14–13.35 5.19–14.31 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 11.91 7.99–15.84 6.90–16.93 | 13.37 9.80–16.93 8.84–17.89 | 25.28 17.79–32.77 15.74–34.82 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.23 5.29–11.17 4.46–12.00 | 8.74 6.06–11.42 5.32–12.16 | 16.97 11.35–22.60 9.78–24.16 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.29–5.05 0.74–5.60 | 3.99 2.33–5.64 1.84–6.13 | 7.16 3.62–10.69 2.59–11.73 | 31% 15% 55% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.65–7.08 2.08–7.65 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.02 | 9.36 5.14–13.57 4.04–14.68 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 46.42 39.63–53.21 37.96–54.88 | 54.90 48.11–61.68 46.44–63.35 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 465 398–532 380–550 | 530 464–597 446–614 | 995 862–1129 826–1165 | 29% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.68 69.65–77.71 68.36–79.00 | 79.31 74.99–83.63 73.68–84.94 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 13.20 10.36–16.04 9.60–16.79 | 10.83 7.89–13.77 7.14–14.52 | 24.03 18.25–29.81 16.74–31.31 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 2.14 0.98–3.30 0.68–3.60 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.91 | 3.67 1.42–5.92 0.83–6.51 | 52% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.97–3.60 | 1.99 0.86–3.11 0.57–3.41 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.00 | 46% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.07–4.94 1.68–5.33 | 3.05 1.49–4.60 1.07–5.03 | 6.55 3.56–9.54 2.75–10.36 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.