UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.292.88safe0.62–2.560.43–2.141.06–4.70safer0.37–2.810.20–2.370.58–5.18
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.159.22safe3.21–6.932.41–5.895.62–12.83safer2.72–7.421.94–6.364.66–13.78
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7712.1127.88safe11.85–19.708.55–15.6720.40–35.37safer10.76–20.797.59–16.6318.35–37.42
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.077.8517.92safe7.13–13.015.17–10.5312.30–23.54safer6.30–13.844.43–11.2710.73–25.11
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.154.088.23safe2.27–6.032.42–5.734.69–11.76safer1.72–6.581.93–6.223.65–12.80
Corners
67%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.324.3710.69safe4.10–8.532.37–6.376.48–14.90safer3.53–9.111.84–6.915.37–16.01
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.2148.37safe44.42–58.0041.58–55.15safer42.75–59.6739.91–56.82
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction493440932safe426–560373–506799–1066safer407–578356–524763–1102
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction66.2969.62safe62.26–70.3265.30–73.95safer60.97–71.6163.99–75.26
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6110.4121.02safe7.77–13.447.47–13.3615.24–26.80safer7.01–14.206.72–14.1013.73–28.31
Offsides
53%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.363.40safe0.88–3.200.26–2.451.14–5.65safer0.58–3.500.00–2.740.55–6.24
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.833.21safe0.33–2.430.70–2.951.03–5.38safer0.06–2.700.40–3.250.47–5.94
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.306.23safe1.50–4.371.74–4.863.24–9.22safer1.11–4.761.32–5.282.43–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 45% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.07 3.21–6.93 2.72–7.42 | 4.15 2.41–5.89 1.94–6.36 | 9.22 5.62–12.83 4.66–13.78 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.77 11.85–19.70 10.76–20.79 | 12.11 8.55–15.67 7.59–16.63 | 27.88 20.40–35.37 18.35–37.42 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.07 7.13–13.01 6.30–13.84 | 7.85 5.17–10.53 4.43–11.27 | 17.92 12.30–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.15 2.27–6.03 1.72–6.58 | 4.08 2.42–5.73 1.93–6.22 | 8.23 4.69–11.76 3.65–12.80 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.10–8.53 3.53–9.11 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.84–6.91 | 10.69 6.48–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 67% 23% |
| Possession % | 51.21 44.42–58.00 42.75–59.67 | 48.37 41.58–55.15 39.91–56.82 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 493 426–560 407–578 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 932 799–1066 763–1102 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.29 62.26–70.32 60.97–71.61 | 69.62 65.30–73.95 63.99–75.26 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.44 7.01–14.20 | 10.41 7.47–13.36 6.72–14.10 | 21.02 15.24–26.80 13.73–28.31 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 53% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.70 | 1.83 0.70–2.95 0.40–3.25 | 3.21 1.03–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.30 1.74–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.43–10.03 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+