UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.193.17safe1.01–2.950.33–2.041.35–4.99safer0.76–3.200.10–2.270.87–5.47
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.853.739.58safe3.99–7.711.99–5.475.98–13.19safer3.50–8.201.52–5.945.02–14.14
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2410.6527.90safe13.32–21.177.09–14.2220.41–35.38safer12.22–22.266.13–15.1818.36–37.43
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction11.047.6718.71safe8.10–13.984.98–10.3513.08–24.33safer7.27–14.814.25–11.0811.52–25.90
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.997.07safe2.20–5.961.34–4.653.54–10.61safer1.66–6.510.85–5.142.50–11.64
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.404.3710.77safe4.19–8.612.37–6.376.56–14.98safer3.61–9.191.84–6.905.45–16.09
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.0049.48safe43.21–56.7942.69–56.26safer41.54–58.4641.02–57.93
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction475466942safe408–543400–533808–1075safer390–561383–550772–1111
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction74.4880.44safe70.45–78.5176.12–84.77safer69.16–79.8074.81–86.08
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4610.8522.31safe8.63–14.307.91–13.7916.53–28.10safer7.87–15.067.16–14.5415.03–29.60
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.313.23safe0.77–3.090.21–2.400.98–5.49safer0.46–3.390.00–2.690.39–6.07
Yellow cards
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.542.84safe0.24–2.340.42–2.670.66–5.02safer0.00–2.610.12–2.970.10–5.57
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.553.826.37safe1.12–3.992.26–5.383.38–9.37safer0.73–4.381.84–5.802.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.95 0.76–3.20 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 3.17 1.35–4.99 0.87–5.47 | 56% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.85 3.99–7.71 3.50–8.20 | 3.73 1.99–5.47 1.52–5.94 | 9.58 5.98–13.19 5.02–14.14 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.24 13.32–21.17 12.22–22.26 | 10.65 7.09–14.22 6.13–15.18 | 27.90 20.41–35.38 18.36–37.43 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.04 8.10–13.98 7.27–14.81 | 7.67 4.98–10.35 4.25–11.08 | 18.71 13.08–24.33 11.52–25.90 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.96 1.66–6.51 | 2.99 1.34–4.65 0.85–5.14 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 6.40 4.19–8.61 3.61–9.19 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.84–6.90 | 10.77 6.56–14.98 5.45–16.09 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 50.00 43.21–56.79 41.54–58.46 | 49.48 42.69–56.26 41.02–57.93 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 475 408–543 390–561 | 466 400–533 383–550 | 942 808–1075 772–1111 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.48 70.45–78.51 69.16–79.80 | 80.44 76.12–84.77 74.81–86.08 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.46 8.63–14.30 7.87–15.06 | 10.85 7.91–13.79 7.16–14.54 | 22.31 16.53–28.10 15.03–29.60 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.46–3.39 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.23 0.98–5.49 0.39–6.07 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 1.54 0.42–2.67 0.12–2.97 | 2.84 0.66–5.02 0.10–5.57 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.82 2.26–5.38 1.84–5.80 | 6.37 3.38–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.