UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.392.72safe0.37–2.300.53–2.240.90–4.54safer0.11–2.550.30–2.470.42–5.02
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.198.40safe2.35–6.072.44–5.934.79–12.00safer1.86–6.561.98–6.403.83–12.96
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9112.0323.94safe7.99–15.848.47–15.5916.46–31.43safer6.90–16.937.51–16.5514.41–33.48
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.917.9515.86safe4.97–10.865.27–10.6310.24–21.48safer4.14–11.694.53–11.368.67–23.05
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.096.12safe1.14–4.901.44–4.752.58–9.65safer0.60–5.450.95–5.241.54–10.69
Corners
40%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.444.679.10safe2.22–6.652.67–6.674.89–13.32safer1.65–7.222.13–7.203.78–14.42
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.6152.86safe40.82–54.4046.07–59.64safer39.15–56.0744.40–61.31
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction446462908safe379–513395–528774–1041safer361–531378–546738–1077
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction74.5977.05safe70.56–78.6272.72–81.37safer69.27–79.9171.41–82.68
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2812.8324.10safe8.44–14.119.88–15.7718.32–29.88safer7.68–14.879.13–16.5216.81–31.39
Offsides
66%
15%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.211.795.00safe2.05–4.370.69–2.882.74–7.25safer1.75–4.670.41–3.172.15–7.84
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.194.00safe0.76–2.861.06–3.321.82–6.18safer0.50–3.130.77–3.611.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.955.94safe1.56–4.431.39–4.502.94–8.93safer1.17–4.810.97–4.932.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.37–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.39 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.35–6.07 1.86–6.56 | 4.19 2.44–5.93 1.98–6.40 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.96 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 11.91 7.99–15.84 6.90–16.93 | 12.03 8.47–15.59 7.51–16.55 | 23.94 16.46–31.43 14.41–33.48 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 7.91 4.97–10.86 4.14–11.69 | 7.95 5.27–10.63 4.53–11.36 | 15.86 10.24–21.48 8.67–23.05 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.14–4.90 0.60–5.45 | 3.09 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.12 2.58–9.65 1.54–10.69 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.22–6.65 1.65–7.22 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.13–7.20 | 9.10 4.89–13.32 3.78–14.42 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 47.61 40.82–54.40 39.15–56.07 | 52.86 46.07–59.64 44.40–61.31 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 361–531 | 462 395–528 378–546 | 908 774–1041 738–1077 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.59 70.56–78.62 69.27–79.91 | 77.05 72.72–81.37 71.41–82.68 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.28 8.44–14.11 7.68–14.87 | 12.83 9.88–15.77 9.13–16.52 | 24.10 18.32–29.88 16.81–31.39 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 3.21 2.05–4.37 1.75–4.67 | 1.79 0.69–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 5.00 2.74–7.25 2.15–7.84 | 66% 15% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.73 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.81 | 2.95 1.39–4.50 0.97–4.93 | 5.94 2.94–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.